Betting on the NBA is a blast, but let’s be real — it’s way more satisfying when you turn a profit. You’re never going to win every bet (we’re not miracle workers here), but with the help of Portfolio EV, we can assure you that you have the best chance of returning positively on your investment long-term. Portfolio EV has especially been on fire during the early parts of the NBA season — and across a number of different markets and sportsbooks. Let’s get into the early NBA EV results from Portfolio EV‘s betting tools, your best resource for profitable NBA betting this year.
All NBA EV Results: Our Betting Tools Have Nearly 8% ROI!
Here are EV results for all of our NBA bets that populate with an OS Rating of at least 2. These bets include all sportsbooks, timeframes, expected win ranges, EV ranges and odds ranges:
Overall, our NBA bets that get at least a passable OS Rating in our betting tools are returning 7.9% on investment. In other words, if you tailed every single one of these bets at the recommended bet size, you would be up $48,539 on NBA alone this season!
But some Portfolios return better than others — different sportsbooks, markets, etc. The above EV results also cover as much as a week ahead of time. And since NBA is a nightly sport, it makes more sense to look at narrower timeframes. Here are the EV results when we restrict NBA bets to two hours before game start, and these are sorted by highest ROI so you can see what Portfolios are returning the best through the early portion of the season. Again, we are going with an OS Rating of 2 or higher:
Now, keep in mind that a lot of these results have smaller samples of less than 100 bets, so these will ultimately level out at least a bit as the season progresses. Still, there are some strong returns on assist and 3-pointer markets specifically.
Next we’ll look at which sportsbooks are the best options for returns on your investment with NBA bets. These EV results again use OS Ratings of 2 or better and two hours before game start as the timeframe:
Suffice it to say, most of the sportsbooks we offer are returning positively early in the NBA season (sorry, Fliff; you’re avoiding market inefficiency better than the rest, it seems). However, there is a wide range of ROI across sportsbooks, and also a somewhat wide selection of sample sizes.
For instance, BetMGM has had 268 bets with an OS Rating of 2 two hours before game start, and those are returning 17.3% — which is unbelievably good for that sample. Fanatics, however (which no longer has a limited number of legal states), only had 27 bets qualify, and those returned a decent but uninspiring 4.1%. This goes to show, as we always say, the importance of making sure you are getting the best odds, the best value, the best lines, etc., to ensure your maximum long-term profitability.
And sure, we’re talking only a couple weeks of basketball. Even these “large” samples are going to be small in the grand scheme of things. But we want to show you exactly how our season is going and how over weeks-long stretches you will see results.
Again, don’t start buying up tracts of land just because you’re up 21.1% on your DraftKings NBA bets this year — this is a marathon, not a sprint.
That said, we like how Portfolio EV is cooking in the NBA sphere early on, and if these percentages hold even close to what they have been thus far, you will see compounding returns as the season goes along.
