At OddsShopper, it’s our job to help you become the most profitable sports bettor that you can be. We can help you do that through a variety of mechanisms, including our sports betting tools, expert picks and educational guides. But as you evaluate your results as a sports bettor, it’s important for you to be able to evaluate our results as well, which is why we’ve put together a page for you to do just that. Sort our market-based bets by a variety of factors to identify the most (and least!) profitable angles to exploit each day. Let’s dive into how to understand our profitable sports betting tools’ results.
Profitable Sports Betting Tools: See Our Results for Yourself!
Profitable Sports Betting Tools: See Our Results for Yourself!
Before we discuss how to understand the results of our market-based positive expected value (+EV) betting tools, let’s define our terms a bit more clearly. By “market-based,” we mean that our tools operate by using the books to beat the books instead of generating game or player projections. For more, check out our guide to how our sports betting tools work.
By “positive expected value (+EV) bets,” we mean only bets that we expect to give us a positive return on investment based on our back-tested simulations. You won’t find bets with negative expected value (-EV) in our results tool because we would not recommend wagering on them.
Now, let’s talk about how to use the results tool. When you first navigate to the page, you’ll see this:
The tool allows you to filter markets based on several variables. You can filter by sport, recency (last seven, last 30 and season-long), time of availability (2 minutes to game start, 1 hour, 2 hours, 12 hours, etc.), sportsbook and bet types.
The tool also allows you to filter bets based on a few variables. Every bet will render in the tool with some amount of EV, whether it be positive or negative, along with an expected win rate (xWin) and an OS Rating (proprietary estimate of value). You can filter only bets that meet a certain threshold for all of those criteria; for example, if you only wanted bets with an OS rating of 10-plus, you could see their outcomes.
For our purposes, we’ll look at the season-long results of all NBA rebound player props with an OS Rating of three or higher with at least two hours before tip-off:
You can view our results on a sportsbook-by-sportsbook basis, but the big picture is at the top with all books included. You’ll see that, at least through Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals (May 28, 2024), our NBA tools had a 6.4% on all rebound props with an OS Rating of 3 or higher.
Some books (bet365, BetMGM, Fanatics, FanDuel and SuperBook) were noticeably easier to beat with rebounding props than others (Fliff, Hard Rock and PointsBet), but even though we ate some losers at those books, we were still net up by a healthy margin when filtering to these parameters.
If you’re wondering what the best strategies are for using our +EV betting tools — which markets to target, perhaps, or which books, what OS Rating threshold, etc — we have a Discord channel just for that purpose. If you’re interested in taking our tools for a spin and joining our community, sign up with code “POSITIVE” to take 50% off your first month.
OddsShopper’s Sports Betting Tools & Tips
New to sports betting? OddsShopper’s selection of Betting 101 articles is here to help. We even have a parlay builder and our guide to parlay betting. Check out our guide to finding positive expected value (+EV), and you can unlock more +EV plays by signing up for OddsShopper Premium!
