The New York Mets aren’t the worst team in baseball, but they’re certainly this year’s biggest disappointment. After spending historic amounts of money in the offseason, the Mets are 37-46 and fighting to remain viable for the MLB playoffs. They’ll look to get that rolling with a series win on Sunday Night Baseball over the San Francisco Giants. Let’s dive into Sunday night’s Giants-Mets odds as we make our prediction and pick the best MLB bet!
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Best MLB Giants-Mets Betting Pick & Prediction: Look Under in New Yrok
Giants-Mets Odds
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Giants: +110 | Mets: -130
Over 9: -105 | Under 9: -115
Mets fans’ hopes were high coming into the year. The organize committed to winning this year with several huge free agent signings. The biggest of them all was future hall of famer Justin Verlander. Unfortunately, Verlander has been mediocre in his age 40 season. They’ve gotten nothing out of LHP Jose Quintana and Edwin Diaz, who they brought back as one of the highest paid relief pitchers. Instead, the Mets are relying upon mainstays from previous years. Tonight that will be SP David Peterson.
Peterson is in his 4th season with the Mets, where he has proved to be average, at best. His results this year have not been pretty. Peterson sports a 7.00 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in nine starts in 2023. Accounting for factors out Peterson’s control, he has a 4.84 Expected ERA (xERA) and 3.43 xFIP. One thing working in Peterson’s favor as been a solid strikeout rate. The southpaw has fanned 50 batters in 45 IP. Strikeout rate has always been a solid part of Peterson’s game.
Despite Peterson’s ability to miss bats, his chances to pitch successfully could impact his innings and pitches thrown in Sunday night’s Giants-Mets game. OddsShopper’s market-based betting model uses the sharpest MLB odds makers to determine the true odds of a bet and then identifies which sportsbooks are off from the efficient price. Peterson’s strikeout prop is lined at Under 5.5 (-136) at FanDuel, which is leaving some value to snatch up. The true odds for Peterson’s MLB prop bet should be -146, which gives this a 3% positive expected value. If you’re using the Kelly Criterion staking method, that’s worth putting down about 1.3% of your bank roll for sustainable growth.
David Peterson can get strikeouts and this Giants team is no stranger to swings and missed. However, the value is there on the under and worth scooping up on these Sunday Night Baseball Giants-Mets odds.
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Best Giants-Mets MLB Pick: David Peterson Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-136) at FanDuel
