Things are looking bleak for the Cleveland Guardians and San Francisco Giants in 2023. Both teams held their own for most of the season, but their hopes of making the playoffs are fading with three weeks left in the season. The Giants are 1.5 games back off the NL Wild Card race and will still be giving it their best effort, but the Guardians could be starting the auditions for their 2024 roster. Let’s take a look at the Guardians-Giants odds and use the OddsShopper model to make a prediction and pick the best MLB bet.
Best MLB Guardians-Giants Bet & Prediction: Andrés Giménez
Guardians-Giants Odds, via FanDuel
Guardians: +124 | Giants: -146
Guardians +1.5: -188 | Giants -1.5: +155
Over 7.5: -120 | Under 7.5: -102
The 2023 season may not be going the way the Cleveland Guardians had hoped, but one of their bright spots has been rookie SP Gavin Williams. The young starter has proved why he was one of the organization’s top prospects coming into the season. Williams– who will start on Monday against the Giants– has put up impressive stats in his first go around in the majors. He has a 3.34 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in fourteen starts. Williams has added 72 strikeouts across 70 IP, walking 32 batters in the process.
Across from Williams, Alex Cobb will start for the Giants. The veteran has been one of the most consistent starting pitchers in the big leagues for several years. Cobb has a 3.74 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 144.1 IP in 2023. His strikeouts per nine have decreased, but the 35-year old veteran continues to get batters out. He and the Giants have a lot to play for with their playoff hopes on the line. They are 73-70 and can still sneak into the National League’s final Wild Card spot.
The Guardians offense hasn’t been great this year, but they should have plenty of opportunities to put bat on ball in this game. Cobb won’t be whiffing guys and the Guardians strikeout at one of the lowest rates in the big leagues.
That could mean opportunities to get on base for contact hitters like Steven Kwan and Andrés Giménez. The price is right on one Andrés Giménez prop bet at FanDuel. MLB bettors can grab Giménez to score a run for +155. This Guardians-Giants bet has true odds of +143 given its 41% win rate. That gives it a 5% positive expected value. It should be staked at just under 1.1% of your bankroll if you’re using the full Kelly Criterion for sustainable growth.
Best Guardians-Giants MLB Bet: Andrés Giménez Over 0.5 Runs (+155) at FanDuel
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