Hunter Brown made his name known at the end of last season. He made multiple appearances from the bullpen in the postseason and was dominate. After a solid start against loaded Tornoto Blue Jays, Brown gets a much easier matchup against the Washington Nationals. Let’s dive into the top Nationals-Astros bet.
Nationals-Astros Bet: Hunter Brown O/U 17.5 Outs
It may not seem like it, but Hunter Brown is a future star. He flies under the radar with a starting rotation that consists of Framber Valdez and Cristian Javier. Brown and his 3.48 xERA get a fantastic matchup against a Washington Nationals team that sees the fewest pitches per at bat and doesn’t strike out often. They strike out at the second-fewest rate in baseball against RHP which has resulted in multiple right-handed starters going at least five innings against the Nationals. Brown isn’t like most RHP though. He gets stretched out by the Astros each and every start.
These outs props can be scary after a team gets a day off. The Astros were one of 14 teams to have the day off yesterday and now have a rested bullpen. But Brown is as consistent as they come in terms of pitches thrown. He’s averaging over 95 pitches per start which ranks just outside the top 20 in qualifying pitchers.
The Nationals don’t have the star power and rank in the middle of the MLB in batting average but outside the top 20 in on-base percentage due to their low walk rate against RHP. With the Nationals swinging early, Brown should be able to coast as long as he keeps his walks down.
Best Nationals-Astros Bet: Hunter Brown Over 17.5 Outs (-140, BetMGM)
