The Baltimore Orioles will line up against the New York Yankees on Wednesday night. These teams currently rank second and third in the AL East and are only two games apart. With divisional positioning on the line, let’s break down the betting odds for Wednesday night’s Orioles-Yankees contest to make our MLB predictions and identify the best bet. We’re riding with Baltimore’s scorching-hot offense in Yankee Stadium.
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Best Orioles-Yankees Bet & Prediction: Trust Those Plucky O’s
Baltimore Orioles-New York Yankees Odds
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Baltimore Orioles: +118 | New York Yankees: -138
Over 8.5: +100 | Under 8.5: -122
The Baltimore Orioles have taken the MLB by storm this year. They’ll start RHP Tyler Wells (3-1) tonight as he looks to keep Baltimore’s strong start going. Wells owns an impressive 2.94 ERA, but his 3.84 xERA suggests his start isn’t all that sustainable. The Yankees will trot out LHP Nestor Cortes, whose 5.21 ERA is a bit inflated relative to his 3.79 xERA. Yankee Stadium is a league-average ballpark for hitters and pitchers, so it seems that Cortes has mostly gotten unlucky.
Both the Yankees and Orioles boast elite offenses. The Orioles rank sixth in expected weighted on-base average, or xwOBA, at .336. This number puts them slightly ahead of the eighth-ranked Yankees at .331. New York’s offense will get even stronger once Giancarlo Stanton is cleared to return. Baltimore’s offense has thrived against left-handed pitchers like Cortes — the Orioles own a .792 OPS against lefties. New York’s offense has held steady against right-handers as the Yankees own a .728 OPS against them.
The Orioles have also been quite plucky on the road this season. They own the MLB’s second-best road record at 16-9 behind only the Atlanta Braves. They are also an MLB-best 12-2 on the run line as an away underdog, which they are tonight. The books have stacked the juice in their favor accordingly. However, some value may exist on the total. The Orioles are 10-4 to the over as a road underdog and are 16-8-1 to the over when on the road in general. Their road OPS of .772 actually slots in above their home OPS of .736.
FanDuel Sportsbook has set Baltimore’s team total to only 3.5 runs. We can lock in the over at a price of -120 (54.5%). The Orioles have scored at least four runs in six of their last seven games. Cortes limited Baltimore to just two earned runs in his lone start against them this season, but since the Yankees dipped heavily into their bullpen on Tuesday, the Orioles should have a few scoring chances once Cortes exits. If you haven’t signed up for FanDuel yet, you can get a no-sweat first bet worth up to $1,000!
Best Orioles-Yankees MLB Bet: Orioles Over 3.5 -120 at FanDuel
