Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN features a big National League East matchup between the Phillies and Braves, with one team throwing its ace and the other trying out someone new. The pitching matchup is opening up some value spots in the MLB player prop market, so let’s turn to OddsShopper and see who it has identified as the best target for Phillies-Braves bets tonight.
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Best MLB Phillies-Braves Bet & Prediction
Phillies-Braves Odds for Sunday Night Baseball
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Philadelphia Phillies: +225 | Atlanta Braves: -275
Over 9.0: -102 | Under 9.0: -110
The Braves are heavy -275 moneyline favorites on FanDuel thanks in part to Spencer Strider being on the hill. As a result, OddsShopper is not seeing value at the moment in any game lines. On the other hand, a handful of player props are presenting +EV opportunities.
Other player props have higher proejected ROIs, but Matt Olson to record two or more total bases is leading OddsShopper’s bet size recommendation by a comfortable margin. Despite Olson’s mediocre batting average, he is averaging an extra-base hit nearly every other game and is slugging over .500. Plus, his 14 home runs are fourth in the National League. He has not been blowing this line away, having hit it only 22 times in 52 games (42.3%), but Olson’s slugging percentage is 200 points better against right-handed pitching, and tonight he gets RHP Dylan Covey in his first Phillies start.
Covey pitched reasonably well in his Phillies debut, going five innings of long relief. However, he allows well over 40% hard contact for his career and has surrendered more home runs to lefties than to righties. And with Olson being a righty masher, this is a great power spot.
Check out OddsShopper’s model projections on Olson below:
The plus money here looks great since OddsShopper is giving Olson over a 50% chance to record multiple bases (53%). He projects for 2.2 total bases in this matchup. With a 6% EV, this play is crushing the market on FanDuel Sportsbook and is the top value spot for Phillies-Braves on Sunday Night Baseball. Lock this bet in now and get a no-sweat first bet up to $1,000!
Best Phillies-Braves MLB Bet: Matt Olson to Record 2+ Total Bases (-155, FanDuel)
