The Colorado Rockies close out a series with the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday afternoon in Phoenix. These teams are headed in different directions. The Rockies have struggled to start the year, recording a 24-32 so far. It’s been a different story for the Diamondbacks, who are just under .500 and looking to improve as their young roster matures. Despite their recent success, it might be a different story on Thursday when Zach Davies take the bump against the Rockies. Let’s take a look at the odds to find the sharpest Rockies-Diamondbacks MLB prediction and betting angle.
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Best MLB Rockies-Diamondbacks Bet & Prediction: High Run Total, High Value
Rockies-Diamondbacks Odds
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Rockies: +146 | Diamondbacks: -174
Over 10.0: -110 | Under 10.0: -110
The 10-run total in this game says a lot. Bettors are expecting a high-scoring game, and for good reason. The Rockies will have Chase Anderson on the bump, who is little more than an “innings eater.” At 35-years old, Anderson has spent years filling up innings so that team’s can rest their bullpen and their young arms. Things have been no different this season for the Rockies, other than Anderson has somehow found success. He has a 1:31 ERA and a minute .9 WHIP in two starts, albeit with two teams. He first pitched for the Reds before being designated for assignment and picked up by Colorado.
On the other side of this game is the Zach Davies. He’s now in his second season with the Diamondbacks and picking up right where he left off from last year… giving up runs. Davies has a 5:68 ERA and 1.7 WHIP in three starts. It’s no wonder that this game’s total is at 10 runs with Davies and Anderson on the hill.
And yet, the sharp sportsbooks are making it clear that the number is too high. Regardless of how suspect those pitchers are, the OddsShopper model is still identifying value on the Under at FanDuel Sportsbook. The Under opened at -110 and if it stays at that number it has about a 2% edge. You won’t make a killing on this, but it’s worth risking about 1% of your bank roll at those odds. This market is bound to move once bettors catch on to the value. Checkout OddsShopper to identify more MLB bets and high-ROI wager in every major sport.
Best Rockies-Diamondbacks MLB Bet: Under 10 Runs (-110, FanDuel)
