There are a couple games tonight with first pitches after 10 p.m. ET, one of which is an Apple TV+ game between disappointing American League squads in White Sox-Mariners. There are some volatile pitchers on the bump and good leverage on some markets, so let’s turn to OddsShopper to identify the best spots for bets on the White Sox-Mariners nightcap.
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Best MLB White Sox-Mariners Bet & Prediction
MLB Free Picks: White Sox-Mariners Odds for Friday Night Apple TV+ Game
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Chicago White Sox: +115 | Seattle Mariners: -135
Over 7.5: -110 | Under 7.5: -110
White Sox starter Michael Kopech has fully reined in whatever ailed him at the start of the season. His ERA is not down to 4.03 after pushing it up in the 7.00 range early on, and he has struck out at least nine in four of his last five starts while also staying under three earned runs in five of six. That said, OddsShopper loves this spot for Mariners slugger Jarred Kelenic against Kopech tonight.
Kelenic has never faced Kopech before and has cooled off a bit since his hot April start, but he still has at least one hit in half his games this month and in 69.8% of games on the season. Plus, his numbers are slightly better at home, with a batting average about 40 points higher than his road average and a slugging over 100 points higher. Kopech’s return to form has also come over a five-start stretch in which he pitched just one road game, and he has not pitched away from Guaranteed Rate Field since May 24. His home/away splits are not too different, but Kopech is a marginally worse pitcher on the road, so this is a gettable spot for Kelenic as he faces a relatively low line of 0.5 total bases.
Check out OddsShopper’s model projections on Kelenic below:
OddsShopper’s Premium Tool has the true odds for one Kelenic base at -111, so this over is beating the market at -105. He has a 53% chance of hitting this mark and has a projection of 1.7 total bases, and that is leading to a solid 3% EV on OddsShopper and a recommended bet size of $10.12. This gives Kelenic’s over the top value spot for White Sox-Mariners in the late Friday night game — lock this bet in now on DraftKings and get $200 in bonus bets if you wager at least $5!
Best White Sox-Mariners MLB Bet: Jarred Kelenic Over 0.5 Total Bases (-105, DraftKings)
