With both main winter sports still awaiting the start of their respective finals, the MLB world takes center stage. Tonight’s slate has a couple of solid value spots to attack on Betr Picks — a fast-growing pick’em app with a fantastic introductory offer — including a team that just played last night. Keep checking our daily Betr Picks pieces, as we will drop a free pick anytime they are offered. Here are today’s top Betr Picks MLB predictions, including Francisco Lindor!
Betr Picks is a fun and super easy to use pick’em app similar to the other ones in the market. Unlike those, we can get you a deposit match up to $250! We also have tools on our OddsShopper pick’em app to help you beat Betr Picks, so make sure you are taking advantage of those each day.
Betr Picks MLB Pick’em Predictions Today
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Francisco Lindor H/L Than 1.5 Total Bases
The race to avoid the basement is officially on between the New York Mets and Washington Nationals. The Nats host the Mets tonight as Washington sends MacKenzie Gore to the hill to counter Tylor Megill. We only care about the Nationals starter going up against Francisco Lindor, as the Mets shortstop is in for a battle at the plate. There’s nothing “wrong” with Lindor, as he just had an 11-game hit streak snapped Sunday night. He’s not striking out a ton either — sitting at a 17.1% on the year — but the matchup isn’t friendly.
Gore is lighting it up with a 29.1% strikeout rate combined with an 87.0 exit velocity and a .300 xwOBA. He’s not only dealing but hard to hit, especially with anything harder off the barrel. Both teams are in desperate need of a win here, as their overall deficit behind Philadelphia widens. We just like the matchup with Gore over Lindor, even if it keeps him to just a single.
The MLB pick’em tool identifies a 5.7% edge against the market. The implied odds for less than 1.5 total bases sit at -122 on Betr Picks. This beats the -138 true odds, which gives us a +EV edge. This type of market-based approach will yield profit over time!
Betr Picks MLB Pick’em Prediction: Francisco Lindor LOWER Than 1.5 Total Bases
Brenton Doyle H/L Than 1.5 Total Bases
Things aren’t great for Colorado either. Sitting at the bottom of the NL West and a loser of two straight, the team will need an even bigger performance out of guys like Brenton Doyle. We aren’t holding our breath tonight against the Reds, even with this game at Coors Field. Andrew Abbott is charged with keeping Doyle and others in check, something that won’t be easy for the Rockies to overcome.
While his strikeout rate isn’t dominant at 18% this year, Abbott makes up for it with a .282 xwOBA and .222 xBA. That, along with his 32.3 hard-hit rate, makes Abbott a difficult matchup for this Rockies team at the plate. Doyle was hitless against the Dodgers in three straight games, and while that in itself is not indicative of any performance tonight, facing Abbott is far from any relief.
We find another edge thanks to the MLB pick’em tool staying ahead of the market. Our +EV play is defined by our -122 implied odds beating the -133 true odds. The play is lower than 1.5 total bases with a 3.8% edge.
Betr Picks MLB Pick’em Prediction: Brenton Doyle LOWER Than 1.5 Total Bases
OddsShopper’s MLB Tools & Tips
Looking for more 2023-24 MLB predictions or random data? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this MLB season — make sure to check out the rest of our MLB articles. Our friends over at Stokastic have your MLB DFS picks covered. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets. We launched our MLB Weather Report page if you’re starting to itch for the summer months!
