The Colorado Rockies struggled last season, striking out almost as much as any team in Major League Baseball. Unfortunately, they haven’t done much to help their chances this year. However, that should help Blake Snell heading into the Rockies’ Opening Day matchup with the San Diego Padres. One Blake Snell player prop bet is popping out in the OddsShopper betting model. Let’s take a look at this high ROI Rockies-Padres MLB prop bet.
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Opening Day Player Prop Bet | Blake Snell O/U 6.5 Strike Outs
Blake Snell is no stranger to strikeouts. He has been one of MLB’s best K artists since making his debut for the Tampa Bay Rays seven years ago. The Rockies are no strangers to swings and misses either. That’s why OddsShopper’s betting model has Blake Snell going over 6.5 strikeouts in this spot 53% of the time. If you head over to BetRivers you can get that MLB player prop at +108, which turns out an 11% long-term ROI on the bet.
The Padres’ opening day starter put up 171 strikeouts in 120 innings last season. He accomplished that in just 24 starts, but with similar rates to the 2022 season in which Snell threw 128 2/3 innings and struk out 170 batters.
The only thing that could hold Snell back in the Rockies-Padres game is his pitch count. It’s unclear how many pitches the Padres will let Snell throw, but given that it’s the first start of the season there is a possibility he could be limited to around 65-80 pitches. Nevertheless, a player of Snell’s caliber could put up 7+ strikeouts quickly. And the Rockies are the team to do it against.
Bettors should check out the news cycle heading into tonight to see if the organization makes any announcements about Snell’s pitch limits. Barring any news, the betting model makes it clear that the value on this Blake Snell player prop bet is too hard to pass up. If you’re looking for more +EV bets on MLB and across any sports betting market, consider signing up for a 7-Day OddsShopper Premium trial. You’ll get access to the tools, Premium Discord and expert analysis to find all the betting edges.
Opening Day Player Prop: Blake Snell OVER 6.5 Strikeouts +108 (BetRivers)
