Opening Day is the most popular MLB betting day of the season. That means the public is out and droves and hammering big names. And since the pubic likes to bet overs– and sportsbooks know it– they’re leaving tons of value on the unders for marquee names, like this Mookie Betts bet. OddsShopper’s MLB betting model has identified the best book to take advantage of this Mookie Bretts prop bet. Get it in before first pitch of the Dodgers-Diamondbacks at 9:10 p.m. ET.
Legal gambling age is 21+ and in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER
Opening Day Player Prop Bet | Mookie Betts O/U 1.5 Total Bases
The public loves to bet overs, especially in prop markets for big names players. Sportsbooks know that they can take advantage of that, leaving too much space on under bets.
Enter Mookie Betts. He’s a star, and he’ll likely be at the top of the order. But our projections predict he’ll reach less than 1.5 total bases 62% of the time. BetRivers is offering that line at -139, which is enough for a 6% expected ROI.
One reason for the deflated Mookie Betts player projection is the success for Zac Gallen. The Diamondbacks ace was one of the best starting pitchers in baseball last season. Gallen posted a 2.54 ERA and 0.91 WHIP across 31 starts in 2022 earning 5th place in NL Cy Young Award voting. His 31 starts were a career high and mark an upward trajectory for the 27-year old. He had 23 starts in 2021 and 12 in 2020. Considering Gallen was a strong prospect that could be coming into his prime, bettors can expect continued success in 2023.
That said, Mookie Betts is no slouch. He hit .269 last year with 35 home runs and 40 doubles. Those are scary stats to fade, but it’s rare that any player goes over the 1.5 total bases player prop more than 60% of the time. Especially with a pitcher like Gallen on the hill.
Now is a great time to get in on a 7-Day OddsShopper Premium trial. The offer will give you full access to the betting model so you can check up on this Mookie Betts player prop and any other values in the Dodgers-Diamondbacks matchup or across tonight’s MLB opening day slate.
Opening Day Player Prop: Mookie Betts UNDER 1.5 Total Bases -139 (BetRivers)
