We’ve got an exciting slate of MLB betting action on tap tonight, and bettors looking to get some skin in the game would be remiss to forget about the MLB Early Win Promo at DraftKings. You can check out my guide to beating the promotion here — or you can keep reading for my top MLB moneyline bet to use today’s early win token on. Want to take our profitable MLB betting tools for a spin? Get your first week or month for 50% off with code “POSITIVE” at checkout!
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MLB Early Win Promo: Best Moneyline Bet Today at DraftKings
MLB Early Win Promo: Best Moneyline Bet Today at DraftKings
The Washington Nationals will visit the Chicago White Sox tonight. Washington will start RHP Trevor Williams (3.01 xERA) tonight, and the 32-year-old pitcher is off to an impressive start. Unlike Williams, RHP Chris Flexen (4.41 xERA) is not. The White Sox are 2-6 in Flexen’s starts. Thier lone wins came against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Although Chicago is on a 6-4 tear, they’re still only 12-29, and I’m fading them against Washington tonight. The Nationals aren’t great, but they’re 19-20 this season and are 5-5 over the last 10. Importantly, Washington’s .316 xwOBA ranks 17th while Chicago’s .296 ranks 29th. They’re also only -135 (57.5%) at DraftKings on the moneyline.
I consider four factors when using DraftKings’ MLB Early Win promo: (1) avoid heavy favorites, (2) target road teams, (3) back lineups with strong early bats and (4) avoid shaky starting pitchers.
At -135, Washington isn’t a heavy favorite. They’re also on the road. Their leadoff bats are all doing well — C.J. Abrams (.385 xwOBA), Luis Garcia Jr. (.352) and Jesse Winker (.342) are all in the 70th percentile or better. Finally, Williams has been good enough to start the season — let’s just hope he keeps it up.
MLB Moneyline Bet & Early Win Promo Pick Today: Washington -135 at DraftKings
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