We have afternoon baseball rolling along all day, and we have some work to do to find a good home run pick in the late-afternoon window. Here we will attack that game with a home run bet from our MLB betting model, specifically Dominic Canzone. If you’re hungry for more, check out our MLB betting tools or our other MLB articles! I even have a few extra picks on my Twitter today. Also, check out our guide about how to bet on MLB player props.
MLB Player Home Run Pick Today: Sunday, April 14
MLB Home Run Pick Today: Dominic Canzone
Sometimes we like a home run pick because the player in question is a top slugger, sometimes we like it because BetMGM is running a sick Grand Slam promo. And sometimes we like it because one sportsbook is completely missing the boat in the odds department.
Today’s home run bet is the latter of those three, as FanDuel has Dominic Canzone at +520 to hit a home run this afternoon. The next closest is BetMGM at +333 — not even in the same ballpark and double-digit -EV. FanDuel‘s odds, meanwhile make this home run pick +EV by a whopping 25.9%.
We can’t promise the odds will stay there long, so get this in ASAP; odds to hit a home are really offering value on this grand a scale.
Canzone isn’t necessarily a lethal home run on any given night, but he does have a 20% chance of hitting one today according to OddsShopper. He is also on the hottest streak of his young career, hitting two home runs in his last three starts and recording three extra-base hits in his last 13 at-bats.
The lefty-righty matchup adds a tiny bit more edge here, but most of all, we love the huge odds discrepancy. Lay a small-unit bet on Canzone to go deep this afternoon.
MLB Home Run Pick Today: Dominic Canzone (+520 at FanDuel)
For the best price currently available, check out our Dominic Canzone home run live odds page!
OddsShopper’s MLB Tools & Tips
Looking for more 2024 MLB predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down this MLB season — make sure to check out the rest of our MLB articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.
