The dust has barely settled on Thursday’s short slate, but there are already MLB overnight odds and bets to look out for on Friday. Sportsbooks are posting MLB odds earlier and earlier which is leaving a lot of value on the table, especially when prop bets are released. Let’s take a look at three MLB overnight bets for Friday’s Nationals-Mets, Phillies-Pirates and Red Sox-Giants games.
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MLB Overnight Bets: Nationals-Mets, Phillies-Pirates, Red Sox-Giants
Nationals-Mets MLB Overnight Odds
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Nationals: +158 | Mets: -188
Nationals: +1.5: -125 | Mets: -1.5: +104
Over 8.5: -114 | Under 8.5: -106
It took a long rain delay but the Washington Nationals and New York Mets finally finished Thursday night’s game. The Mets came out on top 2-1, and they’ll look to ride that momentum into Friday. They’ll once again be favorites as Max Scherzer takes the hill against the Nats’ MacKenzie Gore. The left-hander was acquired from the San Diego Padres along with starting SS CJ Abrams at last year’s trade deadline in the deal for Juan Soto. He has paid dividends, putting in solid work on the hill in Washington.
Gore has might be finding success, but there is plenty of value on the Mets MLB prop bets in this game. Another young player, Mark Vientos is being mispriced at FanDuel where his home run prop is at +520. The true odds of this Nationals-Mets bet are +439 with its 19% win probability. The price is pretty off the mark, leaving nearly a 15% positive expected value on this play. It’s a large return worth staking 1% of your bankroll if you’re using the Kelly Criterion, but you can always scale that back a bit given the uncertainty with lineups, batting order and other news that may come out that affects this MLB overnight bet. Keep in mind that bets on FanDuel are live even if the hitter isn’t in the starting lineup and only enters the game as a pinch-hitter.
Best MLB Nationals-Mets Overnight Bet: Mark Vientos Over 0.5 Home Runs (+520) at FanDuel
Phillies-Pirates MLB Overnight Odds
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Phillies: -162 | Pirates: +136
Phillies -1.5: +102 | Pirates +1.5: -122
Over 8.5: -105 | Under 8.5: -115
Friday’s Phillies-Pirates game is another matchup between two solid starters. Zach Wheeler remains one of the top arms in baseball, providing veteran consistency every five days for the Philadelphia Phillies. He’ll face the Pittsburgh Pirates and Mitch Keller, who has come into his own after a rocky start to his career. Keller was an elite prospect several years ago and possesses immense talent.
Despite the strong starting pitching in this game, there’s another Phillies-Pirates bet on a home prop that’s popping in OddsShopper’s market-based model. Endy Rodriguez was recently called up by the Pirates to fill in as their backstop. The Top-100 prospect could be up to stay, and his status in the organization means that they could be grooming him to be their catcher of the future. Assuming Rodriguez is in the lineup for Game 1 of the Phillies-Pirates series on Friday he is a strong bet at +1060 to hit a home run on FanDuel. This MLB overnight bet has a 9% positive expected value and true odds of +963. It should cash about 9% of the time, making it worth staking just under 3% of your bankroll using the Kelly Criterion for proper bankroll management.
Best MLB Phillies-Pirates Overnight Bet: Endy Rodriguez Over 0.5 Home Runs (+1060) at FanDuel
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Red Sox-Giants MLB Overnight Odds
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Red Sox: +132 | Giants: -156
Red Sox +1.5: -164 | Giants -1.5: +136
Over 8: -105 | Under 8: -115
The San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox find themselves in the thick of the Wild Card race in their respective leagues. Neither organization expected to be playing for much in 2023, but things have changed. The rosters have come together behind solid offense and pitching to make something out of the season. Two of the players leading these squads are Kutter Crawford and Logan Webb. The Giants may have expected this out of Webb, but Crawford has really stepped up for the Red Sox in his second big league campaign.
Marco Luciano is another young talent that will need to step up. He is also another top young player to make the best MLB overnight bets for Friday’s games, solidifying the trend of solid home run prop value. Luciano is a Top 100 prospect and important part of the Giants farm system. Most importantly, you can buy him to hit a home run in Friday’s game for +800. This Red Sox-Giants bet has true odds of +781 and 1 is a 2% +EV bet. It should win about 12% of the time, so you won’t want to go wild with your bet sizing. Using the Kelly Criterion this last MLB overnight bet is worth staking about 3% of your roll.
Best MLB Red Sox-Giants Overnight Bet: Marco Luciano Over 0.5 Home Runs (+800) at FanDuel
