May 3’s MLB schedule offers an exciting lineup of games that present a favorable chance to make money through PrizePicks projections. Using OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Builder, we have identified five picks that can increase your chances of earning a substantial payout on a 10x entry. So let’s take a closer look at the best player projections for MLB PrizePicks.
MLB PrizePicks Player Projections | May 3
Andrew Heaney More Than 5.5 Strikeouts
While Heaney does have some areas of concern, strikeouts are not one of them, as he has a high strikeout rate. He will be facing a Diamondbacks team that has been limiting strikeouts, but Heaney should be in control of the game, which will allow him stretch out his start. Although Heaney’s walk rate is a factor, he will have enough rope to work with and get out of any jams. It’s a good place to start with Heaney going for more than 5.5 strikeouts, as he has the strikeout rate to get the job done.
Braxton Garrett More Than 4.5 Strikeouts
The matchup between Garrett and the Atlanta Braves offers a good opportunity for Garrett to get more than 4.5 strikeouts. While the Braves have some hitters who can make contact, there are also several who have a high propensity to strike out. Additionally, Garrett’s low walk rate of 3.2% means he is less likely to get himself into trouble by issuing free passes. His strikeout rate of 20.4% is not exceptional, but it is enough to get above the 4.5 strikeouts threshold. The fact that he is facing Kyle Wright, who is not as strong of a pitcher, should also give Garrett more opportunities to rack up strikeouts.
Alek Manoah Fewer Than 4.5 Strikeouts
The ballpark in Fenway is tough for pitchers, and Manoah has struggled with his strikeout rate. He is not striking people out at nearly the same clip as he was last year. Although there may be a couple of opportunities to strike out batters such as Triston Casas and Connor Wong, this is not a team that opens the door for pitchers to strike them out, especially at home. Additionally, the walk rate for Manoah is not good at 14%, which is nearly equal to his strikeout rate of 19%. Given his struggles, this presents a good spot to take advantage and play fewer than 4.5 strikeouts.
Bobby Witt Jr. Fewer Than 1.5 Total Bases
Witt has not been performing well lately, and his recent performance suggests that he is unlikely to achieve more than 1.5 total bases in his upcoming game against Baltimore. Although Baltimore’s pitching may not pose a significant threat, Witt’s tendency to strike out is a cause for concern. In his previous games, he only recorded one hit in his last 18 at-bats, and he has been striking out frequently. Given his recent performance, it seems that he will struggle to get on base, and it’s doubtful that he’ll get an extra-base hit.
Rodolfo Castro More Than 0.5 Total Bases
Even though Tampa Bay’s Shane McClanahan is a tough pitcher, Castro is in a good spot in the lineup and is expected to have four to five at-bats. While he may not hit a home run, he got at least one hit in five straight games before going hitless last game. With hittable pitches expected and a 53% chance of success, Castro more than 0.5 total bases is a solid finish to the five-pick entry.
All together, this 10x play has a 4% expected win rate.
