Today there is a split afternoon-evening MLB slate, and once again we will turn to OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Entry Builder to make same MLB PrizePicks. Today is all about stacking bats, with two players each from two teams making up the 5x flex play for Thursday. Let’s break down the Dodgers and Astros hitters with value on PrizePicks.
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MLB PrizePicks Today: Dodgers, Astros Hitters Lead Slate
Kyle Tucker More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
Adam Wainwright is on the hill for St. Louis, but he is not the dominant pitcher he used to be. With a projected FIP of 4.7, he is vulnerable. Tucker, on the other hand, is a fantastic hitter with a projected wOBA of .377. The Astros have a solid 4.8-run implied total for this game. The PrizePicks projection for Tucker is set at 7.5 fantasy points, but OddsShopper projects him for 10.9 fantasy points. This PrizePicks projection just does not make sense, as Tucker exceeds the total 68% of the time.
Jose Altuve More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
It makes sense to pair up Tucker with Altuve in this matchup against Wainwright and the Cardinals. Although Altuve’s projected wOBA is slightly lower at .349, he is still a quality hitter. The PrizePicks projection for Altuve is set at 7.5 fantasy points, which, once again, seems too low for this matchup. If it were set at 8.0, it would be a more balanced decision, but at 7.5, there’s value in taking the more. Altuve exceeds this total 60% of the time.
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Freddie Freeman More Than 9.5 Fantasy Points
Shifting focus to the Dodgers, Freeman is facing the Rockies, who have Chase Anderson on the mound. Anderson is not a strong pitcher, with a projected FIP of 5.2. Freeman, a left-handed hitter, will benefit from this righty-lefty matchup. The Dodgers have a strong 7.2-run implied total for this game, indicating a favorable offensive environment. The PrizePicks projection for Freeman is set at 9.5 fantasy points, but OddsShopper projects him for 13.3. This is a significant difference, and Freeman exceeds this total 72% of the time. This is a standout pick for today.
Mookie Betts More Than 10.0 Fantasy Points
Staying with the Dodgers, Betts is also taking advantage of the game being played at Coors Field and facing Anderson. Anderson is the least threatening pitcher in today’s matchups, and Betts is a fantastic hitter. His reputation precedes him, and one swing of the bat can make a significant impact. The PrizePicks projection for Betts is set at 10.0 fantasy points, but OddsShopper projects him for 13.5. This indicates that the PrizePicks projection is set too low, especially considering the unique offensive environment of Coors Field. Betts exceeds this total 68% of the time.
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