Today’s MLB PrizePicks slate has a tiny five-game slate, only four of which will take place in the evening, and Josh Engleman is going to cover the action by using OddsShopper Premium to find the best leverage spots. The Angels-Tigers game is presenting numerous value spots for less plays, and Josh will go over plus one other spot. Let’s get into MLB PrizePicks for Thursday, July 27.
Sharp PrizePicks players know that the best flex entries feature four picks or more most of the time, so for more plays with positive expected value, sign up for OddsShopper Premium and get access to our PrizePicks Tool!
MLB PrizePicks Today: Tigers Facing Shohei Ohtani
Riley Greene Less Than 6.5 Fantasy Points
Greene and the Tigers will face Shohei Ohtani and the Los Angeles Angels. The PrizePicks projection is set at 6.5 fantasy points, and considering Ohtani’s exceptional pitching abilities — projected FIP of 3.13 — and the Tigers’ 3.6-run implied total, this is a tough matchup for Greene. While a lefty-righty matchup might generally be favorable, Ohtani’s dominance on the mound makes it challenging for any hitter. Therefore, Greene projects to get less than 6.5 fantasy points around 60% of the time.
Spencer Torkelson Less Than 6.5 Fantasy Points
Like Greene, Torkelson faces the tough pitching matchup against Ohtani, with the Tigers having just a 3.6-run implied total. Torkelson’s PrizePicks projection is set at 6.5 fantasy points, and his production has been average at best, making it even more challenging for him to score against Ohtani’s dominance on the mound. As a result, Torkelson goes for less than 6.5 fantasy points around 67% of the time.
Lane Thomas Less Than 7.0 Fantasy Points
Thomas and the Nationals are taking on the Mets with Kodai Senga on the mound. The game will be held at a pitchers’ park, which is not ideal for Thomas. Moreover, Senga brings a projected FIP of 3.75 and presents a challenging opponent for Thomas. With a righty-righty matchup and a 4.0-run implied total for the Nationals, Thomas’ PrizePicks projection is set at 7.0 fantasy points. Thomas is a decent hitter, but the pitching matchup makes it more likely that he will fall short of 7.0 fantasy points, doing so approximately 62% of the time in OddsShopper’s PrizePicks model, so take the less here.
Haven’t signed up for PrizePicks yet? You are missing out — a winning entry can earn you up to 25x your stake! New users who register today can get up to a $100 deposit match.
