MLB PrizePicks is a hot commodity now that the NBA is over, and there are some great leverage spots on tonight’s evening MLB slate. With the help of OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Entry Builder, let’s find some +EV picks to target for a six-leg, 25x flex entry, starting with a couple Cardinals in a matchup against a pitcher who is more gettable than his surface numbers suggest.
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MLB PrizePicks Today: Cardinals & Mets Are Value Spots
Paul Goldschmidt More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
Goldschmidt will be facing Josiah Gray of the Washington Nationals, a pitcher with a projected 4.84 FIP. Given the favorable matchup and the Cardinals’ 5.2-run implied total, Goldschmidt has an excellent opportunity to exceed 7.5 fantasy points. OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tool has him projected for 10.3 fantasy points, indicating that he will go above the projection approximately 64% of the time.
Nolan Arenado More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
Arenado will also be facing Gray and the Nationals, benefiting from the same advantageous matchup. With a projected 9.6 fantasy points, Arenado is expected to perform well above average. Like Goldschmidt, he has a PrizePicks projection of 7.5 fantasy points, and OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tool anticipates him going over this line approximately 58% of the time.
Pete Alonso Less Than 7.0 Fantasy Points
Alonso recently returned to the Mets lineup, but he faces a challenging matchup against Astros pitcher Hunter Brown, who boasts a strong 3.4 projected FIP. Additionally, Alonso will be in a righty-righty matchup. With a 6.7-fantasy-point OddsShopper projection against a 7.0-fantasy-point PrizePicks projection, OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tool expects Alonso to fall short around 62% of the time.
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Francisco Lindor Less Than 7.0 Fantasy Points
Like Alonso, Lindor will face Brown and the Astros. Although Lindor benefits from being a switch hitter and getting a lefty-righty matchup, he is projected for 6.7 fantasy points. With the PrizePicks projection set at 7.0 fantasy points, OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tool predicts Lindor to go for less than 7.0 approximately 62% of the time.
George Springer More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
Springer will go up against Brian Hoeing of the Marlins. While the Marlins ballpark is not the most favorable for offense, Hoeing has a projected 4.8 FIP, indicating he may struggle today. Springer projects for 9.2 fantasy points in OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tool, which suggests he should go over the PrizePicks projection of 7.5 about 58% of the time.
Jonathan India More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
With the Reds playing at home against the Rockies and facing Austin Gomber, a league-average starter, India has a favorable lefty-righty matchup. Cincinnati has a 5.5-run implied total, suggesting ample scoring opportunities. OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Tool projects him for 9.2 fantasy points, and PrizePicks has set him at 7.5 fantasy points, so India is expected to exceed his total around 58% of the time.
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