The packed slate presents a lot of solid value for some MLB PrizePicks, and today Josh Engleman is combing through all the action, with the help of OddsShopper Premium, to find the best leverage spots. Right now baseball’s best player is getting such a high projection that it may be the rare day to fade him, and Josh will cover that plus a few other games below. Let’s dive in.
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MLB PrizePicks Today: Rare Fade of Baseball’s Best Player
Christian Yelich More Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
The Brewers are taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates in Pittsburgh, and they have a favorable matchup against pitcher Osvaldo Bido, who is projected for a 5.00 FIP. Yelich is in a strong lefty-righty matchup with a 4.7 run implied total for Milwaukee. Pittsburgh’s park tends to play down righty power but should give Yelich a boost. The PrizePicks projection is set at 7.5 fantasy points, but this seems comically low given Yelich’s potential. OddsShopper projections show that he goes for more than that 10.65% of the time.
Freddie Freeman More Than 9.0 Fantasy Points
The Dodgers are up against the Kansas City Royals after coming out of Colorado. Royals pitcher Alec Marsh has a projected 4.7 FIP, making it an excellent lefty-righty matchup for Freeman. With a 5.8 run implied total for the Braves, Freeman’s hitting prowess is expected to shine. The PrizePicks projection for Freeman is set at 9 fantasy points, and based on his track record, he is likely to surpass this number. Projections indicate that Freeman goes for more approximately 63% of the time.
Pete Alonso Less Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
This matchup presents a challenge, as Alonso is up against Alex Cobb, who boasts an impressive 3.3 projected FIP and does not give up much power to right-handed hitters. With a 4.4 run implied total for the Mets, Alonso may struggle to reach the PrizePicks projection set at 7.5 fantasy points. According to OddsShopper projections, Alonso goes for less about 60% of the time.
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Francisco Lindor Less Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
Despite getting the lefty-righty spot, Lindor’s hitting performance is not on par with Alonso’s, making this a challenging game for him. The PrizePicks projection is set at 7.5 fantasy points, and OddsShopper projections suggest that Lindor gets less than this number approximately 62% of the time.
Julio Rodriguez Less Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
Rodriguez faces a tough challenge against pitcher Shane McClanahan of the Tampa Bay Rays. While Rodriguez enjoys a favorable righty-lefty matchup, McClanahan is a talented pitcher with a projected 3.3 FIP. The Mariners have a low 3.3-run implied total, indicating a lack of offensive support for Rodriguez. With the PrizePicks projection set at 7.5 fantasy points, Rodriguez’s OddsShopper projections show that he goes for less 60% of the time.
Shohei Ohtani Less Than 10.0 Fantasy Points
Ohtani is facing Tommy Henry of the Arizona Diamondbacks in a lefty-lefty matchup. Although Ohtani is a phenomenal talent, the matchup and the park factors may limit his fantasy production. The Angels have a 5.1 run implied total, indicating a favorable offensive environment, but the PrizePicks projection for Ohtani is set at a high 10 fantasy points. OddsShopper projections show that Ohtani gets less than 10 63% of the time, making it a tempting pick for those looking to play against him.
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