I was back from vacation for less than an hour, and it took me all of five minutes to find the best NRFI bet today for Friday, July 12 — because this one was OBVIOUS. Not only was it obvious, but one book hung an extremely bad line on it (-112?!?! 🤯), so we have to punish them on this no run first inning pick today!
We’re getting two absolute hot-garbage first inning teams and a NRFI bet today nearing even-money value; now let’s talk about it …
NRFI Bets Today: Best No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox | NRFI Bets Today
It’s hard to pass up this NRFI bet today when you see two of the bottom 4 teams in no run first innings in all of baseball matched up against each other.
Tonight, we have a matchup of the 29th-ranked first-inning-scoring Chicago White Sox and the 27th-ranked first-inning-scoring Pittsburgh Pirates.
But not only that, we have the White Sox with their incredible lefty ace Garrett Crochet on the mound, who is 18-1 on NRFI bets this season.
What’s more is that he’s cashed 14 straight no run first inning picks for us, so this man is an absolute KILLER in the first inning.
The Pirates have the fifth-highest strikeout rate against lefties this season, and we’re for sure going to see Crochet pile up the K’s tonight. I have all the confidence in the world in him to shut down the Buccos in the top half of the first.
In the bottom half of the inning, we’re getting another lefty in Marco Gonzales starting for Pittsburgh. This will be his first start since April, but we follow our system plays in betting against the lowly White Sox, who are actually DIRECTLY BEHIND the Pirates in strikeout rate against lefties at 24% this season.
Now, Gonzales isn’t the strikeout machine that Crochet is, as he’s rocking a career strikeout rate under 20%. But as we know, teams that like to swing and miss can give you that strikeout bump in any one-off matchup. So he could get an added strikeout or two in the first if he gets in a pickle, which is always a nice out to have.
The setup for this NRFI bet today is far too good to pass up. Two bad first inning teams with such great odds at BetRivers. We’re all over this no run first inning pick for Friday.
Best NRFI Bets Today: Pirates-White Sox NRFI (-112 at BetRivers)
If you’re looking for MLB bets today outside of this Pirates-White Sox NRFI, this OddsShopper market-based MLB betting model pick below is a +EV bet that is popping for plus-money today.
Toronto Blue Jays catcher Danny Jansen has an over/under total bases of 1.5 against the Arizona Diamondbacks today that is priced at -137 at Caesars Sportsbook.
This is currently the top-rated positive expected value (+EV) bet in the OddsShopper model right now, coming in with a 5.2% EV rating.
It’s got true odds of -155, which means we’re beating that by 18 points with this line at Caesars and getting an extremely strong 61% expected win rate.
Other books like PointsBet (-150) and BetRivers (-190) have it priced much steeper, as you can see, so being able to take advantage of the value line at Caesars is where you can really make your money.
Check out the OddsShopper tools now and use code NATHAN for an instant 20% off bonus when you sign up now.
