Looking for winning NRFI bets every day can be a tough task, but lately, we’ve been finding winners with ease. We’re in the midst of an 8-2 winning streak on no run first inning picks and crushing overall this season with a 71-51 record on NRFIs. I’ve found what is the best NRFI bet today for Monday, June 24, and it’s coming in under the “juice threshold” where we’re getting good value. Let’s talk it out.
NRFI Bets Today: Best No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays | NRFI Bets Today
This Mariners-Rays game has the lowest projected run total of all the games on Monday’s schedule — just 7.5 runs. We love to see that off the hop.
In this matchup, the Rays send out righty Taj Bradley, who is 6-2 on NRFI bets this season and has cashed three straight no run first inning chances (Twins, Cubs, Orioles).
Bradley is known for his powerful fastball and getting whiffs on his splitter and cutter, which should be his bread at butter tonight against this Mariners team.
Seattle is leading the league in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season, whiffing at an MLB-high 27.7% of the time.
And with a guy like Bradley, who is in the 88th percentile in strikeout percentage in baseball, this could be a strikeout-the-side kind of inning.
Outs without contact are the best kind of outs when going for the no run first inning bet.
But if you look down that list not too far, you see the Tampa Bay Rays sitting at No. 11 in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching, which is also a nice little boost to Bryan Woo’s stock tonight.
Yes, it is true, Woo did lose his first NRFI chance of the season in his last outing and is now ONLY 6-1 on no run first inning opportunities in 2024 — what a slacker.
Woo isn’t as dominant a strikeout pitcher as Bradley, but he fills up the zone and doesn’t walk guys. He’s going to make this Rays team beat him, and they don’t have a ton of guys who can really punish him with the home run. They’re more of a death-by-a-thousand-paper-cuts team.
That seems like a team Woo can navigate well, and we’re going to see him get back on track after that rough outing in Cleveland on Wednesday.
We’re going to cash this NRFI bet today and get our winning streak to 9-2. Let’s rock.
Best NRFI Bets Today: Mariners-Rays NRFI (-120 at Caesars)