There’s no doubt where the best NRFI bet today is. It’s only no run first inning bet worth taking a look at for Tuesday, Aug. 13, and it’s in the Motor City.
NRFI Bets Today: Best No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers | NRFI Bets Today
This NRFI bet today comes with a condition, as it’s juiced VERY HEAVILY on most books.
In order for us to bet this no run first inning play today, we’re going to have to fire it up at BetMGM and use their 33% odds boost today, which knocks the odds from -145 all the way down to a palatable -110.
You can sign up at BetMGM here if you aren’t already.
As for the matchup, we get two aces in Tarik Skubal and George Kirby, and a projected total of seven runs in Comerica Park, which is a good park for pitchers.
Skubal comes in with an 18-5 record on NRFI bets this season (8-3 at home on NRFIs) and has cashed each of his last two no run first inning chances.
His last start was against the Mariners as well, in which he not only cashed the NRFI, but went seven innings, allowed only three hits and struck out nine.
Kirby is coming off two straight YRFIs, but like I said, he’s in a great pitcher’s park tonight, so this could be a strong bounce-back spot against a middling Tigers offense.
Overall, the Seattle righty has a 19-5 record on NRFI bets and has cashed out on 75% of his no run first inning opportunities on the road this season (9-3).
The Tigers are 26th in wRC+ this season against right-handed pitching, so expect a strong outing from Kirby and a rebound in the NRFI department.
It’s the only NRFI bet today worth loading up, but make sure you do so with the odds boost at BetMGM to mitigate that juice.
Best NRFI Bets Today: Mariners-Tigers NRFI (-110, BetMGM w/33% Odds Boost)
It’s Dinger Tuesday, and I know you’re looking for home run bets. This market-based MLB betting model pick from the OddsShopper tools is a home run bet on a superstar you’re going to want to check out for Tuesday.
Baltimore Orioles MVP candidate Gunnar Henderson is popping in the OddsShopper model as one of the best bets on the entire board today.
Henderson’s odds to hit a home run today are currently +525 at BetMGM, and he’s got a good matchup against Nationals righty Jake Irvin.
This bet is showing up as a STRONG positive expected value (+EV) bet in our OddsShopper tools.
As you can see, it’s grading out with a 9.2% EV rating, which is because the true odds of this bet should actually be +472, while MGM has it priced at +525.
That’s over 50 points of value we’re gaining on a player who is sitting on 29 home runs this season.
Take the added value on the guy hitting .301 with 23 of his 29 homers against righties this season and watch the money pile up tonight.
