BANG! That’s a 2-0 night on no run first inning bets for us! It got a tad sweaty in that Jays-Royal NRFI bet, but it was totally sweat-free in that Mets-Giants NRFI, and we’re riding the cash train once again! We’ve been running hot on these NRFI bets, and we’re looking to keep the heater rolling today.
I’m firing up two more no run first inning bets today on this Wednesday, April 24 slate of games to see if we can run the streak to 7-0, and 13-3 overall. If you’re hungry for more, check out our MLB betting tools or our other MLB articles! Also, check out our guide to NRFI & YRFI betting.
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NRFI & YRFI Bets Today: Best No & Yes Run First Inning Picks
Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays | YRFI & NRFI Bets Today
We pegged an extremely valuable line yesterday in Blue Jays-Royals, and I think we found another strong value line on this no run first inning bet today in Tigers-Rays.
We’re looking at a matchup that is projecting a total of only 8 runs today, with both of these teams being more than a third-of-a-run below league average right now.
Not only have the offenses been a tad lackluster to start the seasons for both of these teams, but the two starters on the mound today — Jack Flaherty and Shawn Armstrong — have both been solid as well.
Armstrong is used as an opener for the Rays on occasion, and he’ll be used in that capacity today. In his two starts this season, he’s 0-2 on no run first inning chances. So, why are we going to put our coin on him today, you ask?
Well, because for as bad as the 4.09 ERA might look, the expected ERA is sitting at 3.20; and the FIP is sitting at 1.89. So you can see, the underlying numbers are not aligned with the raw numbers. He’s been more than a tad unlucky.
Armstrong has nearly a 30% strikeout rate and has a 30.6% CSW (called + swinging strike rate) — which are both very strong.
The Tigers are no stranger to the strikeout this season, having already struck out 224 times as a team, which puts them at the seventh-most in baseball. With guys like Riley Greene, Wenceel Perez and Spencer Torkelson atop the lineup, there’s plenty of Ks to go around to help wiggle out of a jam to preserve a NRFI bet if need be.
Jack Flaherty is only 2-2 on his no run first inning opportunities this year, but, he, too, has been incredible in terms of strikeouts so far this season. His strikeout rate is just under 30%. But, let’s look at his whiff rates:
- Knuckle Curve: 54.8% Whiff Rate
- Slider: 43.8% Whiff Rate
- Four-Seam Fastball: 21.9% Whiff Rate
For a guy who is basically just a three-pitch pitcher, those numbers are pretty astounding. And the Rays strike out every bit as much as the Tigers.
This Rays lineup isn’t the same Rays lineup we’ve seen in the past. Without Wander Franco and Brandon Lowe, and now having a slumping Randy Arozarena, it lacks a lot of offensive firepower it has been known to have.
Can this Tampa Bay offense still manufacture runs via the running game? Sure. But, if you’re asking me am I scared of the Richie Polacios-Amed Rosario combo hitting in the 2-3 spot of this Rays lineup? The answer is not only no, but hell no.
So, we’re going to back Flaherty and the return to his strikeout stuff to get us through the first inning cleanly here in Tampa, especially at -115 value. Fire up the Tigers-Rays no run first inning bet today.
YRFI & NRFI Bets Today: Tigers-Rays NRFI (-115 FanDuel)
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins | YRFI & NRFI Bets Today
I had a feeling everyone in the NRFI industry was going to be on the White Sox-Twins no run first inning bet yesterday, and I was right. However, I have a theory of never trusting anyone with the last name of Fedde. And, it just so happened, that it worked out for me yesterday.
All jokes aside, I didn’t like the way that game setup with how Pablo Lopez had been pitching and didn’t know if I could trust how real Eric Fedde‘s performances had been of late. Especially with the wind blowing out, it just didn’t feel great, especially with how it was being juiced.
Today’s White Sox-Twins NRFI is juiced, and I don’t generally like to get involved in no run first inning bets that have a ton of juice, but I think we can squeeze the TINIEST bit of value out of it still.
We’re getting Joe Ryan vs Garrett Crochet in a game that has a projected total of 6.5 runs, which has come up a half run from this morning. So, this was sitting at 6. I can’t find a way to make that 6 be stressed any differently, but just know this is me yelling 6 at you. That’s a low number.
Look, you don’t need me to sit here and tell you how bad this White Sox team is. It’s putrid. They’re basically a Little League team outside of Eloy Jimenez, so I can put faith in Ryan to get us three outs in the first. If he can’t, then I’m willing to take the L here. If the White Sox beat me, they beat me.
Now, Crochet? He owes us. Well, more like White Sox d-bag third basemen Braden Shewmake owes us for his idiotic defense against the Phillies in Crochet’s last start that cost us a NRFI.
Ahhh … I digress.
The Twins fancy themselves a strikeout, and Crochet ranks in the 90th percentile in strikeout rate this season.
As you can see, he’s another one of the guys who makes the Baseball Savant statcast data page just bleed out.
So, all of the data on him looks great. And we’re going to rock with him a lot this season on NRFIs.
The Twins are a Bottom 5 offense in baseball this season, averaging just 3.64 runs per game. And against lefties? They’re hitting just .212 with a .280 OBP.
It’s no run first inning season today in Minneapolis. We’re taking the NRFI.
YRFI & NRFI Bets Today: White Sox-Twins NRFI (-135 Bet365)
