MLB is the main game in town tonight, and we will turn to MLB PrizePicks with the help of OddsShopper’s PrizePicks Entry Builder to find some +EV spots. Once again, under bets are ruling the day, and we are going to take a swing at shorting some star players, including Blue Jays Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
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MLB PrizePicks Today: Blue Jays Facing Framber Valdez Buzz Saw
Bo Bichette Less 7.5 Than Fantasy Points
Bichette of the Toronto Blue Jays is facing a tough matchup against the Houston Astros and their formidable pitcher Framber Valdez. The Blue Jays have a decent implied run total of four, which is higher than expected. However, Bichette’s projected fantasy points are 7.3, just below the 7.5 PrizePicks has it. In this matchup, Bichette is likely to go for less than 7.5 fantasy points around 62% of the time. The righty-lefty split works in his favor, but it may not be enough to surpass the set projection.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Less Than 7.0 Fantasy Points
Guerrero is an exceptional talent, but he is up against a top-notch pitcher in Valdez. The projection for his fantasy points is set at 7, while OddsShopper has his fantasy points at 7.3. This means that approximately 60% of the time, Guerrero is likely to come in with less than 7.0 fantasy points. It is a difficult decision to bet against Guerrero’s skills, but considering the matchup, take the less on his fantasy points.
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Javier Baez Less Than 5.5 Fantasy Points
Baez will be facing Phillies pitcher Zack Wheeler. Baez’s hitting skills are decent, but he is projected to have around 5.5 fantasy points, which aligns with the PrizePicks projection set at 5.5. Baez has a 64% chance of going for less than the projection in this matchup. With Wheeler’s talent and Baez’s average performance, take the less on Baez’s fantasy points.
Francisco Lindor Less Than 6.0 Fantasy Points
Lindor will be facing Braves pitcher Spencer Strider. Strider has been performing exceptionally well, with a projected 2.8 FIP according to Steamer. The Mets have a low run implied total of 3.7, indicating a tough game for their hitters. Lindor is a solid hitter, but he is projected to have around 6.2 fantasy points, slightly above the projection set at 6. Therefore, around 62% of the time, Lindor is expected to go for less than 6 fantasy points. Given Strider’s dominance and the Mets’ low run projection, it is recommended to take the less on Lindor’s fantasy points.
Alex Bregman Less Than 7.0 Fantasy Points
Bregman will take on Jose Berrios, who is a decent pitcher with a projected 4.1 FIP, making this matchup challenging for Bregman. The Astros have a run implied total of 4.2, which is slightly above average for the day. Bregman is a fantastic hitter, but he is projected to have around 7.2 fantasy points, just above the projection set at 7. This means that 60% of the time, Bregman is likely to get less than 7 fantasy points. Despite what Bregman offers, Berrios is good enough to make the less on Bregman’s fantasy points the better play.
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