UFC Fight Night is finally here. In turn, using the latest odds, we’re going to provide our Andre Muniz-Park Jun-yong Pick. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC articles, including our full-card breakdown, and or our betting model’s top picks
UFC Andrew Muniz-Park Jun-yong Odds, Pick & Prediction
Andre Muniz-Park Jun-yung Odds
Odds via DraftKings
Weight Class: Middleweight
Park Jun-yong: -195 | Andre Muniz: +145
Park Jun-yong -3.5: -125 | Andre Muniz +3.5: -105
Over 1.5: -166 | Under 1.5: +145
Andre Muniz-Park Jun-yong Pick
To say Andre Muniz (23-6) and Park Jun-yong (17-5) are both aggressive grapplers would be an understatement. Submission sits at the shortest odds for the method of victory at +150, but the number accounts too highly for the possibility of a knockout or decision, which neither fighters’ tendencies support.
Park has recently found success in his recent octagon appearances through a high volume of submission attempts. In his last three fights, Park has attempted six submissions in 22 minutes for an average of one submission attempt every 3:39.
Those submission victories account for 42% of Park’s seven wins while in the UFC. For his recent prowess on the ground, Park is certainly not perfect in defending himself, sometimes getting stunned on the feet.
In his debut, Park succumbed to a nasty anaconda choke after taking damage on the feet and getting outclassed on the ground by Anthony Hernandez. This remains the only submission attempt Park has needed to defend in his time in the UFC. In all, Park’s nine UFC bouts have ended by submission a tick over 44% of the time.
Park’s opponent, Andre Muniz, boasts a third-degree black belt in jiu-jitsu and is no stranger to submission finishes. In his short time in the UFC, Muniz has procured three wins and one loss by submission in seven fights, accounting for 57% of all outcomes.
Muniz’s record doesn’t tell the whole story: his most recent loss to Paul Craig nearly ended in submission before ending via ground and pound toward the end of the second round. In his recent fights, Muniz has shown susceptibility on the ground, particularly when his opponents have been able to punish his relatively weak strike defense both on the feet and on the ground. Muniz showed some flare in his striking against Brendan Allen, but his relatively low output, landing just above two significant strikes per minute, opens him up to taking damage against a higher-output striker like Park.
Further, Muniz’s 35% takedown defense rate is particularly concerning against Park, who averages two takedowns every fifteen minutes at a 50% strike rate. The potential for him to take damage on the feet and on the ground, where his strike defense has serious holes, places him in danger of getting caught. Back this fight to end in a submission.
Best UFC Andre Muniz-Park Jun-yong Pick: Exact Method of Victory Submission +150 at DraftKings
