Max Holloway is one of the highest paced fighters in the UFC. He has put up over one hundred significant strikes in each of his last seven fights, and nearly eclipsed 200 significant strikes three times in that span. Holloway fans won’t forget the unbelievable striking affair he put out against Calvin Kattar in 2021 where he had over four hundred significant strikes. But the only way that kind of volume happens is when fights go five rounds, which is the case for the last seven Max Holloway fights. There’s a good chance the Max Holloway-Arnold Allen fight on Saturday will also go the distance, and that’s why OddsShopper’s betting model is finding this over 4.5 rounds prop at BetMGM as the best UFC prop bet on the board.
Best UFC Prop Bets: Max Holloway-Arnold Allen Over 4.5 Rounds
Arnold Allen is entering Saturday’s main event against Max Holloway as one of the top newcomers in the UFC’s Featherweight division. Allen’s overall record is 19-1, with his two most recent victories being knockout wins over Dan Hooker and the aforementioned Calvin Kattar.
Betting markets are favoring Holloway despite Arnold Allen’s recent success. He’s a +150 underdog to defeat Holloway and +600 to do so by knockout. UFC bettors seem to be leaning toward this fight going Holloway’s way stylistically. It is a pick em’ to go the distance at most outlets.
Nevertheless, there is some value to be had on the over 4.5 rounds UFC prop bet market. It’s a prop that should win 55% of the time, but at -115 at BetMGM there’s a 3% edge to be had. The OddsShopper tools suggest committing about 2.75% of your bankroll to this bet in order to maximize your long-term return.
OddsShopper tracks betting markets in every sport, finding the sharpest books to determine the efficient price for every line. That allows the model to determine where other books are mispricing bets so that you can find the best value every time. Head over to OddsShopper and checkout a 7-day free Premium Trial before Saturday’s card to find more of the best UFC prop bets. Likewise, subscribers will have access to the best bets in every major sport including the NBA and NHL playoffs.
