With a big day ahead, let’s get to our Dan Ige-Andre Fili pick, odds and preview. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC articles, including our full-card breakdown, and or our betting model’s top picks
Dan Ige-Andre Fili Pick, Odds and Preview
Dan Ige-Andre Fili Odds
Odds via DraftKings
Weight Class: Featherweight
Ige: -185 | Fili: +140
Ige -3.5: +105 | Fili +3.5: -140
Over 2.5: +124 | Under 2.5: -160
Dan Ige-Andre Fili Pick & Preview
In the penultimate fight of the night, Dan Ige (17-7) takes on Andre Fili (23-10) in what should be a long, grinding decision.
Though Ige is the favorite, his subpar record in decisions leaves a perfect opening for Fili to exploit if he can make it to the cards.
An old adage in fighting is to never leave the fight in the hands of the judges. This couldn’t be truer for Ige, who, despite his solid 9-6 record in the UFC, holds a losing record (5-6) in fights that end in a decision.
For his entire professional career, Ige sits at 7-7 in decisions. This trend is more than just bad luck — rather, it’s one of the downsides of his fighting style. Ige struggles with takedown defense, as he only successfully defends at a 55% rate.
This has allowed fighters like Bryce Mitchell and Movsar Evloev to get the best of him on the cards by racking up control time.
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In fights that aren’t grappling-heavy, Ige tends to do little to separate himself from his opponents while on the feet. Looking at the striking numbers of his decisions, both wins and losses, he tends to either be comfortably outstruck or about even. In his 11 decisions, he has only outlanded his opponents by five or more significant strikes three times. Of those three, he was knocked down and almost finished in his loss against Josh Emmett, and he was taken down three times in another that ended in a close split-decision victory for him. These margins are too thin to dependably ride with Ige as the favorite in most decisions.
Fili, on the other hand, has a solid 7-4 record in decisions, with many of his victories coming from his ability to procure takedowns and control time while staying about even on the feet. Fili is likely going to exploit the holes in Ige’s takedown defense. He already procures a solid 2.19 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight time, which could certainly tip the balance of a decision that is likely to be close to begin with.
Sitting at a +140 underdog, bettors should look to ride with Fili if this fight goes to the cards. While Ige and Fili have both won by knockout multiple times, this one will more than likely get decided by the judges.
Best UFC Dan Ige-Andre Fili Pick: Andre Fili ML +140 at DraftKings
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