With UFC fight night looming, it’s time to make our Jai Herbert-Fares Ziam prediction and pick by using the latest odds and industry-leading tools.
In the men’s lightweight division, Jai Herbert takes on Fares Ziam as a +110 underdog this weekend. Herbert most recently fought in March of this year, earning a draw against Ludovit Klein after a point deduction. On the other side, Ziam enters this fight fresh off a win over Michal Figlak in September of last year.
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Jai Herbert-Fares Ziam Pick, Prediction and Odds
Jai Herbert: +110 | Fares Ziam: -135
Herbert comes primarily from a striking background, where he lands 2.55 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.92. To this point, he has given and received a few brutal knockouts in his career. At 12-4-1, Herbert has nine knockout wins and three knockout losses to his name. Interestingly, he landed his first takedown in his last fight, but he still only averages 0.25 takedowns per bout. Meanwhile, his 52% takedown defense creates a path for his opponents to find victory.
Ziam has spent nearly a year away from the Octagon at this point. He has a diverse mixed martial arts background and lands 2.52 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.70. His 66% striking defense borders on elite for this division. On the mat, he lands 0.96 takedowns per bout and 70% takedown defense. He has five knockouts and four submissions among his professional wins. Ziam has been submitted three times, but that should not be much of a threat against Herbert.
Herbert should have a strength of schedule edge. However, he has dropped each of his fights against superior competition. Stylistically, Ziam has the ground game to give Herbert major problems. While Herbert should have a striking advantage, his poor takedown defense and questionable durability are enough to back Ziam as a -135 favorite here.
