Natan Levy-Mike Davis Pick, Odds and Preview

Levy-Davis Odds

Odds via DraftKings
Weight Class: Lightweight
Levy: +340 | Davis: -540
Levy +3.5: +150 | Davis -3.5: -200
Over 2.5: -210 | Under 2.5: +160

Levy-Davis Pick & Preview

The final fight on the prelim card comes between two solid prospects, Natan Levy (8-1) and Mike Davis (10-1). Each fighter is well-rounded, showing flashes on the feet to pair with their aggressive and skilled grappling game. I think Davis takes this fight more often than not, but with the odds so heavily against Levy, I like a small money bet to pay off big with the underdog.

Though it’s a nice bounce-back, the three wins came against fighters with a combined 4-6-1 record, with only one coming against an opponent with a winning record. Levy has similar question marks about the difficulty of his wins, as neither of his two victories came against an opponent with a winning record, but question marks about a fighter are far less easy to handle when they’re a -540 favorite.

A near certainty about this fight will be the level of aggression on display. Levy lands 4.01 significant strikes per minute and 5.37 takedowns per 15 minutes of fight-time, while Davis lands 5.83 significant strikes per minute and 3.04 takedowns. With each fighter showing such a high output in both striking and grappling, I expect the fight to be a back-and-forth affair, with neither gaining too much of a clear advantage.

Ultimately, I see this going to a close decision with the rounds going 2-1 in favor of the winner. I’ll take my chances with the long odds against Levy. Either way, this will be a good notch in the cap for the winner, who could make the jump to the main card in their next fight.