With UFC fight night looming, it’s time to make our Paul Craig-Andre Muniz prediction and pick by using the latest odds and industry-leading tools.
Submission specialist Paul Craig makes his highly anticipated return to the UFC Octagon to take on Andre Muniz in the men’s middleweight division. After nearly putting in the title conversation, Craig dropped his two most recent fights. Last time out, he lost to Johnny Walker via knockout. On the other side, Muniz also lost his most recent fight to Brendan Allen by submission, which halted a seven-fight winning streak in the UFC. Muniz is a -225 favorite.
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Paul Craig-Andre Muniz Pick, Prediction and Odds
Paul Craig: +180 | Andre Muniz: -225
Craig has three knockouts and 13 submissions among his 16 professional wins. In six losses, he has been knocked out four times and submitted once. On the feet, he lands 2.44 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.88. He basically uses his strikes to set up his ground game. On the mat, Craig lands 1.81 takedowns per bout and 20% accuracy. He also has 50% takedown defense, but he often accepts takedowns in order to work the ground game.
Muniz is also a grappling specialist. Of his 23 wins, Muniz has 15 submissions and four knockouts. Like Craig, he has been knocked out four times and submitted just once. Muniz lands 2.12 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 1.74. He also averages 2.95 takedowns per bout and 41% takedown defense.
Ultimately, this fight is almost a lock to hit the mat. Craig has fought the better competition and has some of the better wins in this division. With Muniz struggling in his first step up in competition, Craig has plenty of value at +185. One of these fighters is likely to get submitted, so examine submission props later in the week.
