UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas offers up a great chaser to what’s been an incredible few days of college basketball action. Let’s get into our Peyton Talbott-Cameron Saaiman pick, odds and preview as we break down one spot bettors should plan to exploit. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC articles, including our full-card breakdown, and our betting model’s top picks.
Peyton Talbott-Cameron Saaiman Pick, Odds and Preview
Talbott-Saaiman Odds
Odds via DraftKings
Weight Class: Bantamweight
Talbott: -165 | Saaiman: +130
Talbott -3.5: +120 | Saaiman +3.5: -165
Over 2.5: -190 | Under 2.5: +145
Talbott-Saaiman Pick & Preview
Both Peyton Talbott (7-0) and Cameron Saaiman (9-1) have found success early in their UFC careers. Talbott’s standup was formidable in his first two fights, but they both came against suspect competition. Since Saaiman is more battle-tested than Talbott, I like him to come out on top in what should be a great fight between solid prospects.
Saaiman hit a bit of a snag in his last fight, suffering his first professional loss to Christian Rodriguez by decision. Nonetheless, it was a strong performance against a talented, experienced fighter who is becoming a consistent hype-killer, especially with his controversial decision win against Isaac Dulgarian. Even before his fight with Rodriguez, Saaiman faced off against a few solid, UFC-level opponents.
On the other hand, Peyton Talbott has yet to fight an opponent with a UFC victory. It’s not Talbott’s fault that he only faced winless opponents, and his performances were still impressive, but it’s hard to predict how well his performance will translate as he steps up in competition.
This was on full display in the Rodriguez-Dulgarian bout last week when Dulgarian dominated in the first half of the fight before gassing out and losing the last round and a half handily.
Both fighters look to push the pace on the feet, with Talbott landing 6.66 significant strikes per minute and Saaiman landing 5.28. They also both defend themselves well, absorbing two less significant strikes per minute than they land.
Saaiman appears to have a bit of an edge in grappling, landing a takedown per fight. While not stellar, Talbott has yet to land a takedown in his time in the UFC, so this shouldn’t be much of a fear for Saaiman coming into this one.
The margin in this one is likely to be razor-thin, but I like Saaiman to come out ahead given his experience.
Best UFC Talbott-Saaiman Bet & Pick: Saaiman ML +130 at DraftKings
OddsShopper’s UFC Betting Model
OddsShopper’s betting model reveals a pricing disparity in the odds for Saturday’s Nguyen-Errens bout: SuperBook has Nguyen at outright odds of just -150, below the true odds of -158 and far below the odds at FanDuel (-188) and BetMGM (-185), making a wager on Nguyen a +EV Bet. For the rest of our model’s projections — for more than just the UFC — subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for $49.95 per month, a far better deal than the $150+ our competitors charge!
OddsShopper’s UFC Betting Tools & Tips
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