With a big day ahead, let’s get to our Randy Brown-Muslim Salikhov pick, odds and preview. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC articles, including our full-card breakdown, and or our betting model’s top picks
Randy Brown-Muslim Salikhov Pick, Odds and Preview
Randy Brown-Muslim Salikhov Odds
Odds via DraftKings
Weight Class: Welterweight
Brown: -290 | Salikhov: +205
Brown -3.5: -140 | Salikhov +3.5: +105
Over 2.5: -166 | Under 2.5: +130
Randy Brown-Muslim Salikhov Pick & Preview
Randy Brown (17-5) and Muslim Salikhov (19-4) go head-to-head in an interesting matchup that could serve as a big boost in each fighter’s standing in the welterweight division.
Both fighters can end the fight before the final bell by succumbing to submissions or knockouts. As such, playing the under 2.5 in the plus money is a strong play for this one.
Brown is something of a jack-of-all-trades when it comes to his victories and his losses. With two wins by knockout, three wins by submission and six wins by decision in the UFC, he lacks a consistent winning method.
The same could be said with his losses, as he was knocked out twice, submitted twice and lost by decision once. This balance extends to the length of his fights, with eight finishing before the halfway point of the third round and eight coming after.
Salikhov is similarly balanced, making this one of the more unique fights with seemingly any outcome on the table. In his six UFC victories, Salikhov won by knockout three times and by decision in the other three.
Further, he lost once by submission, knockout and decision. Out of his nine UFC bouts, four went over 2.5 rounds while five ended earlier.
OddsShopper’s Model ROI | Why You Should Be Placing MORE Bets
In this simulation of our NBA betting tools, bettors who maxed out their bankrolls profited MORE than those who placed only 40 bets, but all still secured a significant positive return.
Part of this balance can be explained by the fighters’ well-rounded abilities. Neither fighter puts out a particularly high amount of strikes, with Brown landing 4.38 significant strikes per minute and Salikhov landing 3.37. Both are also solid grapplers, landing around one takedown per 15 minutes of fight time and defending the takedown at a clip just above 70%.
Because each fighter has such a well-rounded game, formulating a game plan will be tricky for either fighter. In this instance, it likely helps slant this fight toward the under, as an overly conservative plan will likely put the fighter in more danger than it’s worth. Both Brown and Salikhov will need to try to control the pace, as there is not a significant edge for either fighter in taking it to the scorecards.
With 13 of their combined 25 UFC fights ending under 2.5 rounds (52%), playing the under for odds of +130 leaves a nice edge.
Randy Brown-Muslim Salikhov Pick: Under 2.5 Rounds +130 at DraftKings
OddsShopper’s UFC Betting Tools & Tips
Looking for more UFC predictions? OddsShopper’s experts are here to break down every fight, so make sure to check out the rest of our MMA articles. Still need more picks? Subscribe to OddsShopper Premium for our market-based betting model’s picks and best bets.
