In one of our better UFC 290 bets, using industry-leading tools and data, we make our Jalin Turner-Dan Hooker prediction for what should be an exciting fight.
Jalin Turner makes his highly-anticipated return to the Octagon against Dan Hooker. Turner sits at 13-6 in his career, but he dropped his most recent fight via split decision to Mateusz Gamrot in March. Prior to that, Turner won five straight fights, finishing them all. On the other side, Hooker comes in with a 22-12 record. He is 2-4 in his last six fights, but those losses came against the UFC’s top fighters. Most recently, he knocked out Claudio Puelles in November of last year.
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UFC 290 Bets: Jalin Turner-Dan Hooker Prediction
Jalin Turner: -250 | Dan Hooker: +200
Turner, 28, has become a lethal finisher in the UFC. Of his 13 wins, he has nine knockouts and four submissions. Turner has been knocked out three times himself, but that last occurred in 2018. As for output, Turner averages 5.63 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 3.79 himself. Turner can also grapple. He doesn’t always use it, but he averages 0.89 takedowns per bout. In fact, three of his last four wins occurred via submission, making him a sneaky threat wherever the fight goes.
On the other side, Hooker comes from a kickboxing background. He lands 4.83 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing 4.61 himself. Of his 22 wins, 11 occurred via knockout with another seven via submission. On the ground, Hooker lands 0.85 takedowns per bout. Both fighters possess strong takedown defense, making his fight more likely to remain in the upright position.
One X-factor here could be Turner’s length. Both fighters are large for the division, but Turner is 6-3 with a 77-inch reach. We rarely go straight to props, but looking at this fight not to reach the judges or under 2.5 rounds looks like the best wager here. For those set on playing a fighter, the underdog price on Hooker remains the top bet.
