Time to make some UFC 290 picks. In the light heavyweight division, Vitor Petrino takes on Marcin Prachnio as a -275 favorite. Our Vitor Petrino-Marcin Prachnio prediction and odds follow.
Petrino enters this fight with a perfect 8-0 record. He most recently won his UFC debut against Anton Turkaji by unanimous decision in March of this year. On the other side, Prachnio comes in at 16-6. After dropping his first three UFC fights, Prachnio is now 3-1 in his last four. He most recently won a decision against William Knight in February of this year.
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UFC 290 Picks: Vitor Petrino-Marcin Prachnio Prediction and Odds
Vitor Petrino-Marcin Prachnio Odds
Vitor Petrino: -275 | Marcin Prachnio: +220
The 25-year-old Petrino comes from a striking background. Of his eight professional wins, six occurred via knockout. He averages 3.43 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing just 2.16 himself. Positively, Petrino also showed his grappling chops in his most recent fight. While he allowed five takedowns, he earned seven takedowns and four reversals himself.
On the other side, Prachnio operates as a pure striker. He lands 5.7 significant strikes per minute, while absorbing just 3.26 himself. Of his 16 wins, 11 have come via knockout. Despite his striking prowess, Prachnio’s ground game remains a liability. He only possesses 62% takedown defense. Prachnio was taken down four times by Phillipe Lins in his second most recent fight.
While Petrino comes in as the greener prospect, his strength of schedule is actually decent. While Prachnio will be dangerous on the feet, Petrino appears to possess the weapons to neutralize this part of his game. On the ground Petrino should have the clear advantage. For those reasons, Petrino at -275 is the play here, despite coming in as chalk.
