It’s time to release our UFC 292 predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC 292 odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Austin Hubbard-Kurt Holobaugh pick and prediction.
In the Ultimate Fighter finale, Austin Hubbard takes on Kurt Holobaugh as a -170 favorite in the men’s lightweight division. After getting cut from the UFC following a 2021 loss to Vinc Pichel, Hubbard has now rattled off two straight wins on the regional scene. Similarly, Holobaugh dropped his most recent UFC fight to Thiago Moises before winning a pair of regional fights.
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UFC 292 Predictions: Austin Hubbard-Kurt Holobaugh
Best UFC 292 Bets: Austin Hubbard vs. Kurt Holobaugh Odds
Austin Hubbard: Opened -175, Now -170 | Kurt Holobaugh: Opened +150, Now +142
Hubbard knocked off Aaron McKenzie and Roosevelt Roberts to punch his ticket to the finale. Hubbard has a wrestling background and lands 3.67 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.97. On the mat, he averages 1.35 takedowns and 63% takedown defense. He boasts a 15-6 professional record, featuring five knockouts and a pair of submissions. Typically, Hubbard looks to assert his ground game and control opponents in greasy decision victories.
Holobaugh knocked off Lee Hammond and Jason Knight to earn his spot in the finale. He has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, and within the UFC he lands 4.51 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.28. He also lands 0.97 takedowns per bout and 45% takedown defense. Holobaugh never earned a victory in the UFC, but he faced a strong level of competition, losing to Raoni Barcelos, Shane Burgos and Moises. Now 19-7 in his career, Holobaugh has seven knockouts and nine submission victories.
Holobaugh has the more difficult strength of schedule. His submission game should also neutralize some of the wrestling from Hubbard, and since he is the more active fighter, Holobaugh should also have an easier time winning minutes in this matchup. At +142, taking a shot on Holobaugh makes sense.
