It’s time to release our UFC 292 predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC 292 odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Brad Katona-Cody Gibson pick and prediction.
In the Ultimate Fighter heavyweight finale, Brad Katona takes on Cody Gibson as a -175 favorite. Katona most recently fought in the UFC in 2019, losing to Hunter Azure via decision. Since then, he won four straight regional fights. Gibson last fought in the UFC in 2015, losing to Douglas Silva de Andrade by decision. Since then he has a 7-2 record on the regional circuit.
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UFC 292 Predictions: Brad Katona-Cody Gibson
Best UFC 292 Bets: Brad Katona vs. Cody Gibson Odds
Brad Katona: -175 | Cody Gibson: +145
Katona defeated Carlos Vera and Timur Valiev to punch his ticket to the final. This puts his professional record at 16-2, including his Ultimate Fighter appearances. Within these victories, he only has four finishes, but he has never been knocked out or submitted in his career. Katona seems to have a well-rounded skill set, with a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu and karate. His only losses in the UFC came to Merab Dvalishvili and Azure. He also has wins over Bryce Mitchell and Kyler Phillips from his first Ultimate Fighter appearance. Inside the Octagon, he lands 3.33 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.98 himself. On the mat, he averages 1.25 takedowns per bout and defends them at 47%.
Gibson defeated Mando Gutierrez and Rico DiSciullo to earn his chance to fight for the Ultimate Fighter final. He has a 21-8 record when including his Ultimate Fighter bouts, including seven knockouts and four submissions. He has never been knocked out, but he has been submitted four times. Gibson comes from a wrestling background, evidenced by his 1.85 takedowns per bout. He only has 58% takedown defense, but he also faced stiffer UFC competition. He lands 2.47 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.54 himself. Aside from Silva de Andrade, Gibson also lost to Manny Gamburyan and Aljamain Sterling in the UFC. On the regional scene, his losses came up a weight class against Adrian Diaz and against former UFC fighter Ray Borg.
Katona is the more complete athlete, possessing strong skills on the feet and mat. His Brazilian jiu-jitsu should help neutralize Gibson’s wrestling, allowing him to take the fight anywhere. Given that he also has the superior strength on schedule, Katona deserves a long look.
