It’s time to release our UFC 292 predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC 292 odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Gregory Rodrigues-Denis Tiuliulin pick and prediction.
Back to the men’s middleweight division, Gregory Rodrigues takes on Denis Tiuliulin as a -355 favorite. Rodrigues has a 4-3 UFC record after suffering a knockout loss to Brunno Ferreira back in January. Similarly, Tiuliulin lost his most recent bout via submission at the hands of JunYong Park in February of this year.
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UFC 292 Predictions: Gregory Rodrigues-Denis Tiuliulin
Best UFC 292 Bets: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Denis Tiuliulin Odds
Gregory Rodrigues: Opened -350, Now -355 | Denis Tiuliulin: Opened +275, Now +280
Rodrigues has a Brazilian jiu-jitsu background, where he has a black belt. At 13-5 overall, Rodrigues has eight wins by knockout and another three via submission. In his losses, he has been knocked out three times. Rodrigues lands 6.09 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.82, and on the mat he lands 2.2 takedowns per bout and defends them at 100%. While the recent knockout loss to Ferreira raises durability concerns, Rodrigues has stood up to solid UFC competition to date.
Tiuliulin has a 10-7 professional record. Nine of his victories have come by way of knockout, but he has been finished five times. In the UFC, Tiuliulin lands 5.35 significant strikes per minute, but he absorbs 6.07 due to poor 41% striking defense. Tiuliulin has never landed a takedown in the UFC, but he defends them at 72%. With that said, he has been submitted four times, including in each of his two UFC losses. With Rodrigues’ grappling pedigree, Tiuliulin will be at a severe disadvantage on the mat.
All in all, Tiuliulin’s only UFC victory came over low-level fighter Jamie Pickett. Rodrigues certainly has the advantage on the mat, and his recent striking performances should give him an additional edge on the feet. While -355 is long odds, it is appropriate. For those looking for a better price, Rodrigues to win by submission is strong at +255, and him to win by KO/TKO/DQ is decent at +110.
