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UFC 293 Odds: Israel Adesanya-Sean Strickland Pick and Prediction

Using the latest UFC 293 odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Israel Adesanya-Sean Strickland pick and prediction.

Headlining UFC 293, Israel Adesanya takes on Sean Strickland for the middleweight title as a -600 favorite. Adesanya most recently defeated Alex Pereira in April to become a two-time champion after previously losing to Pereira in November. Strickland enters this fight on relatively short notice after knocking out Abus Magomedov back on July 1. With a lack of available title challengers, Strickland has now been expedited to the title.

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Israel Adesanya-Sean Strickland Pick and Prediction

Best UFC 293 Picks: Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland Odds

Israel Adesanya: Opened -600, Now -750 | Sean Strickland: Opened +425, Now +490

Adesanya has an elite kickboxing background and a 24-2 professional record featuring 16 knockout victories. Within the Octagon, he lands 3.94 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.88 behind 57% striking defense. While he is not a threat on the ground, Adesanya’s 77% takedown defense generally holds up within the division. To this point, only Pereira and Jan Blachowicz have defeated Adesanya, and the Blachowicz fight came at light heavyweight.

Strickland has a 27-5 professional record with 11 knockouts and four submissions. In his five losses, Strickland has been knocked out twice. Strickland has a diverse mixed martial arts background, but he is also 2-2 in his last four fights. Those losses came against Pereira and Jared Cannonier. In the UFC, he lands 5.86 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.28 behind his division-leading 62% striking defense. Strickland also averages 1.00 takedown per bout and has 84% takedown defense. Notably, Strickland has held wrestling advantages in the past and declined to use them. He technically has a path to victory in this area, but much of this comes down to his pre-fight game plan and ability to implement it.

Best UFC 293 Pick: Israel Adesanya -750

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Matt Gajewski

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