Using the latest UFC 293 odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Manel Kape-Felipe dos Santos pick and prediction.
In the men’s flyweight division, Manel Kape finally gets a fight after repeated cancellations. Kape will take on Felipe dos Santos as a -400 favorite. Kape most recently defeated David Dvorak by decision back in December, putting him on a three-fight winning streak. Dos Santos has a perfect 7-0 record. However, this will be a major step up in competition as dos Santos makes his UFC debut.
Looking for other UFC 293 picks, predictions and odds? Use our industry-leading best bets tool to get ahead! If you’re looking for the DFS side of things, Stokastic has MMA projections, UFC ownership and UFC top fighters data!
Manel Kape-Felipe dos Santos Pick and Prediction
Best UFC 293 Picks: Manel Kape vs. Felipe dos Santos Odds
Manel Kape: Opened -380, Now -400 | Felipe dos Santos: Opened +260, Now +300
Now 18-6 in his career, Kape has a diverse mixed martial arts background. In his 18 wins, he has 11 knockouts and five submissions. He has been submitted twice but not since 2017. He lands 4.46 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.92. Kape also averages 0.56 takedowns per bout defending them at 69%. Generally, his takedown defense holds up against the better fighters within the division.
The UFC originally scheduled dos Santos to fight on the Contender Series this season, but this cancellation opened the door into the UFC. At 7-0, dos Santos has two knockouts and three submission victories. Previously fighting in LFA, dos Santos has a weak level of competition to this point. While the UFC clearly sees some potential, fighting Kape on short notice might be too much too soon.
All in all, seeing Kape as just a -400 favorite comes as a slight surprise. A former champion in RIZIN, Kape has faced significantly more difficult competition behind a more diverse skill set. Laying -400 looks like the best way to play this fight.
Best UFC 293 Pick: Manel Kape -400
