At UFC Fight Night, Melquizael Costa takes on Austin Lingo as a -200 favorite. In this post, we’ll be looking at some Austin Lingo-Melquizael Costa picks and make a prediction for the fight.
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UFC Fight Night: Austin Lingo-Melquizael Costa Prediction and Odds
Austin Lingo vs. Melquizael Costa Odds
Austin Lingo: +160 | Melquizael Costa: -200
Costa debuted on short notice against Thiago Moises, losing by submission. On the other side, Lingo is 2-2 in the UFC, losing his most recent bout to Nate Landwehr via submission.
Costa looks to have a well-rounded game, with seven knockouts and six submissions among his 19 victories. While Costa does have six losses to his name, he is still just 26 years old and growing within the sport. Costa functions primarily as a striker and slightly out-landed Moises in his debut 23-22. However, his grappling failed to stand up to Moises, as he allowed four takedowns and was submitted. Moises is an excellent grappler, so there is no shame in that.
Lingo functions primarily as a striker, rarely utilizing a ground game. He lands 4.21 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.36. On the mat, he lands 0.55 takedowns per bout while defending them at 78%. Lingo has three knockouts and two submissions to his name, but most of his fights end in a decision. The big issue with Lingo is inconsistent performance against uninspiring competition.
Lingo still has not completely proven to be a UFC-caliber fighter. With Costa taking such a difficult debut fight on short notice, there may be some value on the favorite here. For those worried about the -200 price, Costa via submission should provide some juicy returns later in the week.
