UFC Fight Night returns this Saturday with a full twelve fight card. OddsShopper’s experts broke down the UFC odds for every fight, including analyses of each fighter’s style, record and background. There is one UFC Fight Night bet for Grant Dawson–Damir Isamgulov that’s standing out in OddsShopper’s market-based betting model. The tool uses the sharpest sportsbooks to find the best UFC bets and odds for every card. Plus, it defines the bet’s true win probability, expected value and proper bet sizing. Let’s see what the OddsShopper model is finding for Grant Dawson-Damir Ismagulov bets.
UFC Fight Night Bets & Odds: Grant Dawson-Damir Ismagulov
Grant Dawson has not lost a fight since a knockout defeat at the hands of Hugh Pulley in 2016. The only blemish on Dawson’s record since that loss is a draw against Ricky Glenn. He has won his last two fights by submissions, the first over Mark Madsen and the previous over Jared Gordon. Dawson has also notched victories over Darrick Minner and Julian Erosa. He has displayed strong wrestling skills in that time and will hope to have them on full display against Ismagulov this Saturday.
Damir Ismagulov brings a more well-rounded approach to the Octogan, showing an ability to adapt to many fight styles. He has a 24-2 record that includes a run as the division title holder. The only knock on Ismagulov is momentum. He lost his last fight to Arman Tsarukyan by unanimous decision in December of 2022. Prior to the defeat, Ismagulov had won nineteen straight bouts since dropping a fight in 2015.
Both fighters have incredible records and runs in the UFC, making this an exciting matchup. And despite the overall success and longevity for Ismagulo, OddsShopper’s market-based model is showing value on the Dawson side. The best Dawson-Ismagulov bet in this one is on Dawson’s moneyline at +110. You can grab that at FanDuel Sportsbook for a 1% expected ROI. This UFC Fight Night bet hits about 48% of the time and is worth staking 1% of your bank roll if you’re using the Kelly Criterion for proper bank roll management.
If you’re looking for a full Grant Dawson-Damir Ismagulov breakdown checkout OddsShopper’s UFC expert betting analysis. For more model plays, take a shot on OddsShopper Premium. Subscribers get full access to the model for the best UFC bets and sharpest wagers and odds in every major sport. Give it a try to start using the model, as well as tools like Parlay Builder!
Best Grant Dawson-Damir Ismagulov UFC Fight Night Bet: Grant Dawson (+110) at FanDuel
