Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Alex Reyes-Charlie Campbell pick and prediction.
In the men’s lightweight division, Alex Reyes takes on late replacement Charlie Campbell as a +370 underdog. It is interesting to see the late replacement favored, as Campbell originally lost on the Contender Series via knockout in August of last year. Since then, he knocked out Josh Streacker on the regional scene back in June. Reyes has not fought since he lost via knockout to Mike Perry in 2017.
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Alex Reyes-Charlie Campbell Pick and Prediction
Alex Reyes-Charlie Campbell Odds
Alex Reyes: Opened +300, Now +370 | Charlie Campbell: Opened -400, Now -485
Now 7-2, Campbell has five knockouts to his name but one knockout loss as well. His lone knockout defeat came at the hands of Chris Duncan after largely dominating the early part of the fight. Campbell out-landed Duncan 16-15 and successfully defended two takedown attempts. He still has questions regarding his strength of schedule to this point, but Campbell appears to have the striking required to hang in the UFC.
Reyes lost the last six years of his career to a spinal infection. He is 13-3 in his career with nine knockouts and four submissions. Reyes has been knocked out twice, including his last fight against Perry. However, that fight came on short notice and up a weight class. Reyes comes from a Brazilian jiu-jitsu background, where he has a black belt. Campbell has been relatively untested on the ground to this point, which should give Reyes a theoretical advantage.
Now that he is past his prime with quality training years taken from him, it is difficult to predict what Reyes will look like in the cage. With that said, he has a ground game to potentially give Campbell problems. This play comes down to price, and -485 is simply too much for Campbell.
Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Alex Reyes +370