Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Edgar Chairez-Daniel Lacerda pick and prediction.
In the men’s flyweight division, Edgar Chairez takes on Daniel Lacerda as a -218 favorite. Now 0-1 in the UFC, Chairez lost to Tatsuro Taira via decision in July. Lacerda is also winless in the UFC, most recently losing to C.J. Vergara via knockout in March of this year.
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Edgar Chairez-Daniel Lacerda Pick and Prediction
Edgar Chairez-Daniel Lacerda Odds
Edgar Chairez: Opened -225, Now -218 | Daniel Lacerda: +180
Chairez has a 10-5 professional record featuring four knockouts and six submission victories. Chairez has been submitted twice, with both coming on the regional scene. He is big for the division and has missed weight in the past. Despite the six submission wins, Chairez has struggled against ground attacks in the UFC. Chairez allowed three takedowns and over four minutes of control time on the Contender Series. Taira also controlled Chairez for almost 10 minutes, making this a significant weakness for Chairez. Along with his 44% takedown defense, Chairez has not really been able to display his striking skills.
Lacerda has an 11-5 record featuring five knockouts and six submissions. In his losses he has been knocked out four times and submitted once. He has fought decent competition in the UFC, but he has been finished in all of those bouts. He lands 4.75 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 9.76 behind 34% striking defense. Lacerda also averages 1.52 takedowns per bout while never facing a takedown attempt. With most fighters able to out-strike Lacerda, there has not been much need to test his ground game.
Both fighters have significant weaknesses in this bout. At +180, backing Lacerda’s ground advantage is intriguing. He has not experienced much success on the ground to this point, but Chairez should be an easier opponent than his previous foes.
Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Daniel Lacerda +180
