Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Marina Rodriguez-Michelle Waterson-Gomez pick and prediction.
Back to the women’s strawweight division, Marina Rodriguez takes on Michelle Waterson-Gomez as a -310 favorite. After rattling off four straight wins, Rodriguez has now lost two straight to Amanda Lemos and Virna Jandiroba. Waterson-Gomes is 1-5 in her last six fights, most recently losing a split decision to Luana Pinheiro back in April.
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Marina Rodriguez-Michelle Waterson-Gomez Pick and Prediction
Best UFC Fight Night Picks: Marina Rodriguez vs. Michelle Waterson-Gomez Odds
Marina Rodriguez: Opened -275, Now -310 | Michelle Watson-Gomez: Opened +220, Now +250
Rodriguez has a 16-3 professional record featuring six knockouts and one submission. She has only been knocked out once, which came against Lemos in her second-most recent fight. Rodriguez has a Muay Thai background, landing 4.58 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.94. One the mat, she only lands 0.17 takedowns per bout while defending them at 64%. This has been her downfall in multiple fights, including her most recent bout against Jandiroba.
Waterson-Gomez has an 18-11 professional record featuring three knockouts and nine submissions. In defeat, she has been knocked out once and submitted four times. She lands 3.63 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.01. On the mat, she lands 1.40 takedowns per bout and has 72% takedown defense. It should be noted that these two previously fought in 2021, with Rodriguez winning via decision. Rodriguez out-landed Waterson-Gomez 125-88 and only allowed one takedown.
With Rodriguez already earning a victory in this matchup, backing her again makes sense. She went on to defeat fighters like Mackenzie Dern and Yan Xiaonan, while Waterson-Gomez stumbled every step of the way. Rodriguez via decision could help reduce the long odds as well.
Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Marina Rodriguez -310, Rodriguez by Decision -165
