Using the latest UFC Fight Night odds, as well as industry-leading tools, we’re set to make our Rafael Fiziev-Mateusz Gamrot pick and prediction.
Rafael Fiziev takes on Mateusz Gamrot as a -155 favorite. After winning six straight fights, Fiziev lost a decision to Justin Gaethje in March of this year. Gamrot lost a decision to Beneil Dariush in October last year before bouncing back with a split-decision victory over Jalin Tuner in March.
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Rafael Fiziev-Mateusz Gamrot Pick and Prediction
Best UFC Fight Night Picks: Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot Odds
Rafael Fiziev: -155 | Mateusz Gamrot: Opened +125, Now +130
Fiziev has a 12-2 professional record featuring eight knockouts and one submission. He has a striking background, but he has multiple tools to utilize in the Octagon. He lands 5.06 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.17 behind 48% striking defense. Fiziev only averages 0.31 takedowns per bout, but he defends them at 90% overall. Still, he has yet to face a wrestler of Gamrot’s caliber.
Gamrot has a 22-2 professional record with seven knockouts and five submissions. Gamrot has an elite wrestling background, evidenced by his 4.54 takedowns per bout and 90% takedown defense. On the feet, Gamrot lands 3.03 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.23 behind 60% striking defense. Gamrot has been able to take down some of the elite grapplers in the division like Dariush, which makes this a particularly interesting matchup against Fiziev’s elite takedown defense.
Gamrot has a more well-rounded skill set. An elite grappler, Gamrot will have the best chance to take down Fiziev out of any of his previous opponents. Gamrot also stays disciplined on the feet, which should help avoid the bigger shots coming his way.
Best UFC Fight Night Pick: Mateusz Gamrot +130
