It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Cody Durden-Jake Hadley pick and prediction.
Staying in the men’s flyweight division, Jake Hadley takes on Cody Durden as a -165 favorite. Hadley enters this bout on a two-fight winning streak. He most recently defeated Malcolm Gordon via knockout back in March. Similarly, Durden has now won three straight fights, most recently defeating Charles Johnson via decision in April.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Cody Durden-Jake Hadley Pick
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Cody Durden vs. Jake Hadley Odds
Cody Durden: +140 | Jake Hadley: -165
Hadley is 10-1 with five submissions and three knockouts in his career. Hadley has a fairly well-rounded game. On the feet, he lands 4.21 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.52. On the mat, he averages 0.47 takedowns per bout, but he only defends them at 37%. He will sometimes accept takedowns in order to work his submission game. With that said, he has also been controlled on the mat by superior wrestlers. Allan Nascimento controlled him for over nine minutes in his UFC debut.
On the other side, Durden comes from a wrestling background, evidenced by his 5.73 takedown average per bout. Durden has 15 takedowns combined in his last two fights. He also defends them at 71% and generally has a wrestling advantage over his opponents. On the feet, he lands 3.27 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.21. With a 15-4-1 professional record, Durden has six knockouts and five submissions on his resume. It should be noted that Durden has been submitted three times, so he needs to be careful with the submission game of Hadley.
Neither fighter has a particularly impressive resume or strength of schedule at this point. This is a lower-level fight in the division, so taking a shot with the underdog makes sense. Hadley has been outwrestled before, and as long as Durden avoids the submission attempts, he can grab a win.
