It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Cory Sandhagen-Rob Font pick and prediction.
Cory Sandhagen was originally scheduled to fight Umar Nurmagomedov, but he will now take on late replacement Rob Font at a catchweight of 140 pounds. Since a questionable decision loss at the hands of Petr Yan for the bantamweight title, Sandhagen has rattled off two straight wins over Song Yadong and Marlon Vera. Meanwhile, Font is 1-2 in his last three fights. However, he knocked out Adrian Yanez back in April, setting up this short notice opportunity. Bookmakers currently peg Sandhagen as a -265 favorite over Font.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Cory Sandhagen-Rob Font
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Cory Sandhagen vs. Rob Font Odds
Cory Sandhagen: -265 | Rob Font: +225
Sandhagen comes from a kickboxing background and boasts some of the most intriguing striking in the sport. He lands 5.98 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 3.90. On the mat, he averages 0.89 takedowns per bout while defending them at 64%. Sandhagen has rarely been controlled on the mat, and that does not look like much of a threat in this bout. At 16-4 overall, Sandhagen has seven knockouts and three submissions. A win likely will cement a title shot for Sandhagen.
Font has developed a well-rounded game over the years. He lands 6.46 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.03. While Font does not look to wrestle frequently, he averages 1.01 takedowns per bout while defending them at 55%. Font has a 20-6 professional record, featuring nine knockouts and four submissions. The biggest concern with Font at this point in his career is the advancing age. Font generally relies on his quickness and explosion as a striker, but his recent losses to Jose Aldo and Marlon Vera raise concern against an equally talented striker in Sandhagen.
While both fighters have strong strengths of schedule, Sandhagen has performed a little better against the upper echelon of the division of late. Sandhagen also has all of the weapons to neutralize Font on the feet with his unorthodox striking. The price of -265 is not the best, but Sandhagen deserves it. Check later in the week for knockout props; until then, Sandhagen is the official pick.