It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Jaqueline Amorim-Montserrat Ruiz pick and prediction.
Taking place in the women’s strawweight division, Jaqueline Amorim takes on Montserrat Ruiz as a -250 favorite. Amorim is 0-1 in the UFC after dropping her debut to Sam Hughes via unanimous decision earlier in April. Meanwhile, Ruiz is 1-1 in the UFC. After defeating Cheyanne Vlismas in her debut, Ruiz lost to Amanda Lemos via knockout in July of 2021.
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UFC Fight Night Predictions: Jaqueline Amorim-Montserrat Ruiz
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Jaqueline Amorim vs. Montserrat Ruiz Odds
Jaqueline Amorim: Opened -225, Now -250 | Montserrat Ruiz: Opened +185, Now +205
Amorim has a 6-1 record and is a specialist on the ground, with a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. On top of winning multiple championships within the discipline, she already has five victories in MMA via submission. Unfortunately, her striking and wrestling still need some work. In her UFC debut, a middling strawweight in Hughes outstruck Amorim 46-12. Amorim did score two takedowns, while Hughes only landed one. However, Hughes controlled the wrestling exchanges, earning over seven minutes of control time. Fighters with solid striking and ground defense should be able to exploit Amorim until she develops more wrinkles to her game.
Ruiz has not competed in two years. She is one of the smallest fighters on the entire roster at 5 feet tall. She will be ceding seven inches of reach to Amorim, but neither fighter prefers to strike anyway. Ruiz comes from a high-level wrestling background. In the UFC she lands 3.85 takedowns per bout and 80% accuracy. From a striking perspective, she only lands 1.16 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.44. With a 10-2 professional record, Ruiz has three knockouts and two submissions. She has also never been submitted, which gives her a path to victory against Amorim as long as she can avoid submissions.
Final Jaqueline Amorim-Montserrat Ruiz pick and UFC Fight Night predictions: Seeing Amorim as a -250 favorite presents quite a bit of sticker shock. Amorim has been outstruck and outwrestled against middling competition as recently as April. With Ruiz’s elite wrestling background, taking a shot on the underdog at +205 makes sense.