It’s time to release our UFC Fight Night predictions. Using industry-leading tools, data and best UFC Fight Night odds, let’s get on with it by providing our Jeremiah Wells-Carlston Harris pick and prediction.
Moving to the men’s welterweight division, Jeremiah Wells takes on Carlston Harris as a -165 favorite. Wells has now fought four times in the UFC and earned a perfect 4-0 record in that span. He most recently defeated Matthew Semelsberger via split decision in April. Similarly, Harris has a 3-1 record. His lone loss came against Shavkat Rakhmonov, and he followed up that loss with a unanimous decision win over Jared Gooden in March.
Looking for other UFC Fight Night predictions? There’s a lot more going on than just our Jeremiah Wells-Carlston Harris pick, prediction and odds. Use our industry-leading best bets tool to get ahead! If you’re looking for the DFS side of things, Stokastic has MMA projections, UFC ownership, and UFC top fighters data!
UFC Fight Night Predictions: Jeremiah Wells-Carlston Harris Pick
Best UFC Fight Night Bets: Jeremiah Wells vs. Carlston Harris Odds
Jeremiah Wells: -165 | Carlston Harris: +140
Wells comes from a Brazilian jiu-jitsu background, where he has a black belt. Wells also has decent wrestling, landing 3.93 takedowns per bout and 38% accuracy. He defends them at 100% and generally has a grappling advantage over opponents. On the feet, Wells lands 2.96 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 1.46. Wells has a 12-2-1 record, featuring five knockouts and four submissions. He has never been finished.
Harris comes primarily from a striking background, but he has developed a well-rounded game. On the feet, he lands 4.14 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.88. On the ground, he averages 3.04 takedowns per bout. He defends them at 75% and has only been taken down by Rakhmonov. Even then, Rakhmonov failed to control Harris on the mat, which should make for some excellent grappling exchanges in this fight. However, that fight ended in the first, so Rakhmonov may have had more success later in the fight. Harris is 18-5 with five knockouts and submissions apiece in his career.
This is a very tough fight to handicap, as neither fighter has a particularly strong strength of schedule. Harris failed in his step up against Rakhmonov, while Wells fared a little better against the middle tier of the division.
Our final Jeremiah Wells-Carlston Harris Pick: Ultimately, the wrestling of Wells should be a difference maker. While Harris has defended takedowns well in the past, he is still relatively unproven on the ground in the UFC. As long as Wells can avoid the big shots of, he should have an easier time winning rounds.
